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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$590.69

Combined PnL

-$56.66

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$394.41

Total Shares394

Combined PnL+$34.5

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares152

Combined PnL-$91.16

Up — 55%Down — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$325.86	$329.15	+$3.29	93% 22640-1735 (24375)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 70¢	$257.81	$196.28	-$61.53	51% 6853-6542 (13395)
└ Up leg	Upavg 70¢	$137.35	$196.28	+$58.93
└ Down leg	Downavg 54.6¢	$120.46	—	-$120.46
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 48.2¢	$29.31	—	-$29.31	56% 57606-44494 (102100)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 60¢	$30.75	—	-$30.75	55% 17309-13927 (31236)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 58.2¢	$14.55	—	-$14.55	64% 39732-22693 (62425)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 74.5¢	$15.36	$20.61	+$5.25	63% 51258-30160 (81418)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 35¢	$6.78	$14.2	+$7.42	58% 37384-26627 (64011)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$10.4	—	-$10.4	58% 60135-43896 (104031)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 38.7¢	$3.95	$10.2	+$6.25	55% 44146-36636 (80782)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 40¢	$6.15	—	-$6.15	61% 93995-59086 (153081)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 41.5¢	$4.26	$10.26	+$6	65% 21769-11955 (33724)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 37¢	$3.7	$10	+$6.3	51% 19801-18940 (38741)

Invested

$325.86

Value

$329.15

PnL

+$3.29

Record

93%

22640-1735 (24375)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$257.81

Value

$196.28

PnL

-$61.53

Record

51%

6853-6542 (13395)

Both legs:

Up$137.3570¢+$58.93

Down$120.4654.6¢-$120.46

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$29.31

Value

—

PnL

-$29.31

Record

56%

57606-44494 (102100)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$30.75

Value

—

PnL

-$30.75

Record

55%

17309-13927 (31236)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$14.55

Value

—

PnL

-$14.55

Record

64%

39732-22693 (62425)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$15.36

Value

$20.61

PnL

+$5.25

Record

63%

51258-30160 (81418)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$6.78

Value

$14.2

PnL

+$7.42

Record

58%

37384-26627 (64011)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$10.4

Value

—

PnL

-$10.4

Record

58%

60135-43896 (104031)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$3.95

Value

$10.2

PnL

+$6.25

Record

55%

44146-36636 (80782)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$6.15

Value

—

PnL

-$6.15

Record

61%

93995-59086 (153081)

Invested

$4.26

Value

$10.26

PnL

+$6

Record

65%

21769-11955 (33724)

Invested

$3.7

Value

$10

PnL

+$6.3

Record

51%

19801-18940 (38741)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x86c493f0...444d36

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793215500

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $329.15

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $0

ohioism

Down — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $20.61

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $14.2

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Up — $10.2

asidjasiodja

Down — $0

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