Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Up 44%
3 arb excluded
$1.1K
-$112.72
Smart Money Signal
8 of 18 top traders (44%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $339.41 | $342.84 | +$3.43 | 93% 22640-1735 (24375) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 39.7Β’ | $133.23 | $130.14 | -$3.1 | 51% 6853-6542 (13395) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 42.9Β’ | $55.87 | $130.14 | +$74.27 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 39.7Β’ | $77.37 | β | -$77.37 | |
![]() BoneOhio | Upavg 80.2Β’ | $147.76 | $184.22 | +$36.46 | 74% 102149-36316 (138465) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Downavg 48.1Β’ | $117.37 | $129.47 | +$12.1 | 58% 37384-26627 (64011) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 45.3Β’ | $58.63 | $129.47 | +$70.84 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 48.1Β’ | $58.74 | β | -$58.74 | |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterARB<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $26.55 | $50.08 | +$23.53 | 62% 43590-26534 (70124) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 1.3Β’ | $3.01 | β | -$3.01 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 47Β’ | $23.54 | $50.08 | +$26.54 | |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 58.3Β’ | $80.75 | $75.25 | -$5.5 | 56% 57606-44494 (102100) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.4Β’ | $56.64 | β | -$56.64 | 34% 18536-35559 (54095) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 52.2Β’ | $52.9 | $52.07 | -$0.83 | 55% 17309-13927 (31236) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.5Β’ | $29.49 | β | -$29.49 | 64% 39732-22693 (62425) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 54Β’ | $32.28 | $32 | +$1.77 | 65% 124308-66488 (190796) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.7Β’ | $32.09 | β | -$32.09 | 58% 60135-43896 (104031) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 56.7Β’ | $36.23 | $56.46 | +$20.23 | 65% 21769-11955 (33724) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.4Β’ | $6.81 | β | -$6.81 | 61% 93995-59086 (153081) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.8Β’ | $15.56 | β | -$15.56 | 58% 12510-9161 (21671) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 54Β’ | $8.1 | β | -$8.1 | 66% 98656-51035 (149691) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $12.3 | β | -$12.3 | 55% 44146-36636 (80782) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.4Β’ | $10.26 | β | -$10.26 | 63% 51258-30160 (81418) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 44Β’ | $5.28 | $12 | +$6.72 | 12% 18047-132832 (150879) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 67Β’ | $13.4 | $10 | -$0.01 | 51% 19801-18940 (38741) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 36Β’ | $1.95 | β | -$1.95 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.2Β’ | $1.8 | β | -$1.8 | 66% 124638-64161 (188799) |
Invested
$339.41
Value
$342.84
PnL
+$3.43
Record
93%
22640-1735 (24375)
Invested
$133.23
Value
$130.14
PnL
-$3.1
Record
51%
6853-6542 (13395)
Both legs:
BoneOhioInvested
$147.76
Value
$184.22
PnL
+$36.46
Record
74%
102149-36316 (138465)
Invested
$117.37
Value
$129.47
PnL
+$12.1
Record
58%
37384-26627 (64011)
Both legs:
G-Penis-MonsterARB<$100Invested
$26.55
Value
$50.08
PnL
+$23.53
Record
62%
43590-26534 (70124)
Both legs:
Invested
$80.75
Value
$75.25
PnL
-$5.5
Record
56%
57606-44494 (102100)
Invested
$56.64
Value
β
PnL
-$56.64
Record
34%
18536-35559 (54095)
Invested
$52.9
Value
$52.07
PnL
-$0.83
Record
55%
17309-13927 (31236)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$29.49
Value
β
PnL
-$29.49
Record
64%
39732-22693 (62425)
Invested
$32.28
Value
$32
PnL
+$1.77
Record
65%
124308-66488 (190796)
Invested
$32.09
Value
β
PnL
-$32.09
Record
58%
60135-43896 (104031)
Invested
$36.23
Value
$56.46
PnL
+$20.23
Record
65%
21769-11955 (33724)
Invested
$6.81
Value
β
PnL
-$6.81
Record
61%
93995-59086 (153081)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$15.56
Value
β
PnL
-$15.56
Record
58%
12510-9161 (21671)
Invested
$8.1
Value
β
PnL
-$8.1
Record
66%
98656-51035 (149691)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$12.3
Value
β
PnL
-$12.3
Record
55%
44146-36636 (80782)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$10.26
Value
β
PnL
-$10.26
Record
63%
51258-30160 (81418)
Invested
$5.28
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.72
Record
12%
18047-132832 (150879)
Invested
$13.4
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.01
Record
51%
19801-18940 (38741)
Invested
$1.95
Value
β
PnL
-$1.95
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
Invested
$1.8
Value
β
PnL
-$1.8
Record
66%
124638-64161 (188799)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $342.84
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded

BoneOhio
Up β $184.22
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage β excluded

G-Penis-Monster
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up β $75.25
Little-big
CTRDown β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up β $52.07

ohioism
CTRDown β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $32