Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 58%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$884.73

Combined PnL

$26.52

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$850.33

Total Shares850

Combined PnL+$63.38

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares593

Combined PnL-$36.86

Up — 62%Down — 38%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 98.1¢	$629.86	$642	+$12.14	66% 98656-51035 (149691)
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100	Upavg 95¢	$40.35	$34.4	-$5.95	49% 77608-80954 (158562)
└ Down leg	Downavg 2.4¢	$7.67	—	-$7.67
└ Up leg	Upavg 95¢	$32.68	$34.4	+$1.72
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 69.9¢	$88.63	$126.77	+$38.14	51% 6853-6542 (13395)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 89.2¢	$35.7	$40	+$4.3	55% 17309-13927 (31236)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$2.63	—	-$2.63	46% 37893-44550 (82443)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 15¢	$29.66	—	-$29.66	57% 69920-53118 (123038)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 95¢	$19	$20	+$1	65% 124308-66488 (190796)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 77.9¢	$26.66	$14.72	+$7.38	65% 21769-11955 (33724)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$1	—	-$1	58% 60135-43896 (104031)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 92¢	$4.65	$5.05	+$0.4	66% 124638-64161 (188799)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 3.3¢	$2.58	—	-$2.58	55% 44146-36636 (80782)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$1.77	$1.79	+$0.02	93% 22640-1735 (24375)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$1	—	-$1	61% 93995-59086 (153081)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19801-18940 (38741)

Invested

$629.86

Value

$642

PnL

+$12.14

Record

66%

98656-51035 (149691)

OhioRiskManagementARB<$100

Invested

$40.35

Value

$34.4

PnL

-$5.95

Record

49%

77608-80954 (158562)

Both legs:

Down$7.672.4¢-$7.67

Up$32.6895¢+$1.72

Invested

$88.63

Value

$126.77

PnL

+$38.14

Record

51%

6853-6542 (13395)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$35.7

Value

$40

PnL

+$4.3

Record

55%

17309-13927 (31236)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$2.63

Value

—

PnL

-$2.63

Record

46%

37893-44550 (82443)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$29.66

Value

—

PnL

-$29.66

Record

57%

69920-53118 (123038)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$19

Value

$20

PnL

+$1

Record

65%

124308-66488 (190796)

Invested

$26.66

Value

$14.72

PnL

+$7.38

Record

65%

21769-11955 (33724)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

58%

60135-43896 (104031)

Invested

$4.65

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.4

Record

66%

124638-64161 (188799)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$2.58

Value

—

PnL

-$2.58

Record

55%

44146-36636 (80782)

Invested

$1.77

Value

$1.79

PnL

+$0.02

Record

93%

22640-1735 (24375)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

61%

93995-59086 (153081)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19801-18940 (38741)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0x0a43e347...6df0ea

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793211900

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $642

OhioRiskManagement

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Up — $126.77

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $40

pspspsps5

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20

aaa221

Up — $14.72

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $5.05

Trade on Polymarket