Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 47%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

-$286.27

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 19 top traders (47%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$992.22

Total Shares992

Combined PnL+$177.35

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares619

Combined PnL-$463.62

Down — 47%Up — 53%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$477.14	$481.96	+$4.82	93% 22640-1735 (24375)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 65.6¢	$421.71	$329.24	-$92.47	51% 6853-6542 (13395)
└ Down leg	Downavg 65.6¢	$215.95	$329.24	+$113.28
└ Up leg	Upavg 59.2¢	$205.75	—	-$205.75
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 66.5¢	$224.9	$337.96	+$113.06	58% 37384-26627 (64011)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 60¢	$196.06	—	-$196.06	57% 69920-53118 (123038)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Upavg 60.3¢	$54.49	—	-$54.49	63% 51258-30160 (81418)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 50¢	$25.99	$51.99	+$25.99	46% 37893-44550 (82443)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 52.7¢	$51.07	—	-$51.07	56% 57606-44494 (102100)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 66¢	$23.73	—	-$23.73	65% 21769-11955 (33724)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 65¢	$48.84	—	-$48.84	64% 39732-22693 (62425)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 39¢	$28.6	$40	+$11.4	65% 124308-66488 (190796)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 53.8¢	$40.92	—	-$40.92	58% 60135-43896 (104031)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 59.3¢	$23.45	$20.4	-$3.05	55% 17309-13927 (31236)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 65¢	$21.71	—	-$21.71	49% 77608-80954 (158562)
LI Little-big<$100	Downavg 61¢	$14.22	$23.31	+$9.09	34% 18536-35559 (54095)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$7.8	—	-$7.8	61% 93995-59086 (153081)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 51¢	$10.97	$21.51	+$10.54	62% 43590-26534 (70124)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 65¢	$11.9	—	-$11.9	55% 44146-36636 (80782)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 70.8¢	$7.15	$10.1	+$2.95	66% 124638-64161 (188799)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 65¢	$7.1	—	-$7.1	51% 19801-18940 (38741)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 49¢	$2.45	$5	+$2.55	52% 89438-83891 (173329)