Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 71%
$1.5K
$44.72
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 87.1¢ | $292.46 | $283 | -$9.46 | 51% 6853-6542 (13395) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $365.3 | $368.99 | +$3.69 | 93% 22640-1735 (24375) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Downavg 89¢ | $267 | $300 | +$33 | 48% 23074-25189 (48263) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 87.2¢ | $88.29 | $100.97 | +$12.68 | 55% 44146-36636 (80782) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 93¢ | $94.45 | $101.6 | +$7.16 | 74% 102149-36316 (138465) |
 ohioism | Downavg 85.6¢ | $85.83 | $100.26 | +$14.43 | 64% 39732-22693 (62425) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $2.77 | — | -$2.77 | 46% 37893-44550 (82443) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 85.3¢ | $60.8 | $60 | -$0.8 | 57% 69920-53118 (123038) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 85.7¢ | $62.19 | $60.29 | -$1.9 | 58% 60135-43896 (104031) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $49.5 | $50 | +$0.5 | 66% 98656-51035 (149691) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3¢ | $14.36 | — | -$14.36 | 49% 77608-80954 (158562) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $23.84 | $30.18 | +$6.34 | 56% 57606-44494 (102100) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 86.4¢ | $21.6 | $25 | +$3.4 | 55% 17309-13927 (31236) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $15.8 | $10 | +$2.5 | 65% 124308-66488 (190796) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $7.93 | — | -$7.93 | 12% 18047-132832 (150879) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $4.44 | $12 | +$7.56 | 34% 18536-35559 (54095) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $14.22 | $6.08 | +$0.12 | 65% 21769-11955 (33724) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $4.65 | $5.22 | +$0.57 | 66% 124638-64161 (188799) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.7¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 61% 93995-59086 (153081) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.9¢ | $4.01 | — | -$4.01 | 63% 51258-30160 (81418) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19801-18940 (38741) |
Invested
$292.46
Value
$283
PnL
-$9.46
Record
51%
6853-6542 (13395)
Invested
$365.3
Value
$368.99
PnL
+$3.69
Record
93%
22640-1735 (24375)
Invested
$267
Value
$300
PnL
+$33
Record
48%
23074-25189 (48263)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$88.29
Value
$100.97
PnL
+$12.68
Record
55%
44146-36636 (80782)
BoneOhioInvested
$94.45
Value
$101.6
PnL
+$7.16
Record
74%
102149-36316 (138465)
ohioismInvested
$85.83
Value
$100.26
PnL
+$14.43
Record
64%
39732-22693 (62425)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.77
Value
—
PnL
-$2.77
Record
46%
37893-44550 (82443)
Invested
$60.8
Value
$60
PnL
-$0.8
Record
57%
69920-53118 (123038)
Invested
$62.19
Value
$60.29
PnL
-$1.9
Record
58%
60135-43896 (104031)
Invested
$49.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$0.5
Record
66%
98656-51035 (149691)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$14.36
Value
—
PnL
-$14.36
Record
49%
77608-80954 (158562)
Invested
$23.84
Value
$30.18
PnL
+$6.34
Record
56%
57606-44494 (102100)
Invested
$21.6
Value
$25
PnL
+$3.4
Record
55%
17309-13927 (31236)
Invested
$15.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.5
Record
65%
124308-66488 (190796)
Invested
$7.93
Value
—
PnL
-$7.93
Record
12%
18047-132832 (150879)
Invested
$4.44
Value
$12
PnL
+$7.56
Record
34%
18536-35559 (54095)
Invested
$14.22
Value
$6.08
PnL
+$0.12
Record
65%
21769-11955 (33724)
Invested
$4.65
Value
$5.22
PnL
+$0.57
Record
66%
124638-64161 (188799)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
61%
93995-59086 (153081)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.01
Value
—
PnL
-$4.01
Record
63%
51258-30160 (81418)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19801-18940 (38741)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $283
hoodquant
Down — $368.99
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down — $300
MayorMamdani
Down — $100.97
BoneOhio
Down — $101.6
ohioism
Down — $100.26
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $60
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $60.29
Bonereaper
Down — $50