Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 31% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 33%
$562.83
-$106.67
Smart Money Signal
5 of 16 top traders (31%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $443.17 | $449.19 | +$6.02 | 93% 22615-1734 (24349) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $71.04 | $74 | +$2.96 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $40.41 | — | -$40.41 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.4¢ | $27.43 | — | -$27.43 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.6¢ | $24.59 | — | -$24.59 | 58% 60123-43891 (104014) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $18.57 | — | -$18.57 | 64% 39724-22691 (62415) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $12.15 | $22.5 | +$10.35 | 62% 43587-26530 (70117) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.94 | — | -$0.94 | 46% 37887-44532 (82419) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $6.14 | $7.14 | +$1 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $5.7 | $10 | +$4.3 | 34% 18536-35559 (54095) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3¢ | $11.57 | — | -$11.57 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $2.64 | — | -$2.64 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $0.72 | — | -$0.72 | 65% 124286-66473 (190759) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $2.73 | — | -$2.73 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
Invested
$443.17
Value
$449.19
PnL
+$6.02
Record
93%
22615-1734 (24349)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$71.04
Value
$74
PnL
+$2.96
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
$40.41
Value
—
PnL
-$40.41
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Invested
$27.43
Value
—
PnL
-$27.43
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
$24.59
Value
—
PnL
-$24.59
Record
58%
60123-43891 (104014)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$18.57
Value
—
PnL
-$18.57
Record
64%
39724-22691 (62415)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$12.15
Value
$22.5
PnL
+$10.35
Record
62%
43587-26530 (70117)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.94
Value
—
PnL
-$0.94
Record
46%
37887-44532 (82419)
Invested
$6.14
Value
$7.14
PnL
+$1
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.3
Record
34%
18536-35559 (54095)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$11.57
Value
—
PnL
-$11.57
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
$2.64
Value
—
PnL
-$2.64
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
$0.72
Value
—
PnL
-$0.72
Record
65%
124286-66473 (190759)
Invested
$2.73
Value
—
PnL
-$2.73
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $449.19
MayorMamdani
Down — $74
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $22.5
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $7.14
Little-big
Down — $10