Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 67%
4 arb excluded
$3.3K
$677.32
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 64.1¢ | $1.1K | $1.6K | +$517.61 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 65.2¢ | $344.45 | $517.77 | +$173.31 | 56% 57594-44483 (102077) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 70¢ | $224.82 | $320.95 | +$96.13 | 48% 23069-25170 (48239) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 32.7¢ | $239.35 | $207.19 | -$32.15 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 52.3¢ | $108.3 | $207.19 | +$98.9 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 32.7¢ | $131.05 | — | -$131.05 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025ARB<$100 | Upavg 64.6¢ | $256.85 | $225.43 | -$31.42 | 58% 60123-43891 (104014) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64.6¢ | $145.57 | $225.43 | +$79.86 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 45.7¢ | $111.28 | — | -$111.28 | |
 ohioismARB<$100 | Downavg 46.6¢ | $84.21 | $50.18 | -$34.03 | 64% 39724-22691 (62415) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46.6¢ | $54.6 | — | -$54.6 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 59¢ | $29.61 | $50.18 | +$20.57 | |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 75.7¢ | $89.19 | $117.78 | +$28.59 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Downavg 28.3¢ | $61.2 | $64 | +$2.8 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 44¢ | $28.16 | $64 | +$35.84 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28.3¢ | $33.04 | — | -$33.04 | |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.1¢ | $70.91 | — | -$70.91 | 62% 43587-26530 (70117) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.2¢ | $62.43 | — | -$62.43 | 74% 102141-36314 (138455) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.8¢ | $22.75 | — | -$22.75 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 62.9¢ | $55.94 | $55.37 | -$0.57 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 77.1¢ | $53.93 | $48.32 | -$5.61 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $42.31 | $53.28 | +$17.97 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $22 | $50.01 | +$28.01 | 58% 50799-36936 (87735) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $21.35 | — | -$21.35 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $13.6 | $20.34 | +$7.91 | 65% 124286-66473 (190759) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 37.1¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $8.5 | $11.49 | +$2.99 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $8.68 | $14 | +$5.32 | 12% 18033-132824 (150857) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $5.45 | $5 | -$0.45 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.2¢ | $7.44 | — | -$7.44 | 46% 37887-44532 (82419) |
Invested
$1,065.85
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$517.61
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
$344.45
Value
$517.77
PnL
+$173.31
Record
56%
57594-44483 (102077)
Invested
$224.82
Value
$320.95
PnL
+$96.13
Record
48%
23069-25170 (48239)
Invested
$239.35
Value
$207.19
PnL
-$32.15
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Both legs:
Invested
$256.85
Value
$225.43
PnL
-$31.42
Record
58%
60123-43891 (104014)
Both legs:
ohioismARB<$100Invested
$84.21
Value
$50.18
PnL
-$34.03
Record
64%
39724-22691 (62415)
Both legs:
MayorMamdaniInvested
$89.19
Value
$117.78
PnL
+$28.59
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
$61.2
Value
$64
PnL
+$2.8
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Both legs:
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$70.91
Value
—
PnL
-$70.91
Record
62%
43587-26530 (70117)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$62.43
Value
—
PnL
-$62.43
Record
74%
102141-36314 (138455)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$22.75
Value
—
PnL
-$22.75
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
$55.94
Value
$55.37
PnL
-$0.57
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
Invested
$53.93
Value
$48.32
PnL
-$5.61
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$42.31
Value
$53.28
PnL
+$17.97
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$22
Value
$50.01
PnL
+$28.01
Record
58%
50799-36936 (87735)
Invested
$21.35
Value
—
PnL
-$21.35
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
$13.6
Value
$20.34
PnL
+$7.91
Record
65%
124286-66473 (190759)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
$8.5
Value
$11.49
PnL
+$2.99
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
$8.68
Value
$14
PnL
+$5.32
Record
12%
18033-132824 (150857)
Invested
$5.45
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.45
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$7.44
Value
—
PnL
-$7.44
Record
46%
37887-44532 (82419)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Up — $1.6K
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $517.77
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $320.95
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ohioism
ARBArbitrage — excluded
MayorMamdani
Up — $117.78
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage — excluded
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0
BoneOhio
CTRDown — $0