Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 54%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
$37.21
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 99¢ | $624.69 | $631 | +$6.31 | 12% 18033-132824 (150857) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98¢ | $158.76 | $162 | +$3.24 | 93% 22615-1734 (24349) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 78.1¢ | $131.75 | $168.62 | +$36.87 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 71.3¢ | $111.77 | $125.57 | +$13.81 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
 OhioRiskManagementARB<$100 | Upavg 89.9¢ | $39.83 | $40.94 | +$1.11 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 1¢ | $3.03 | — | -$3.03 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 89.9¢ | $36.8 | $40.94 | +$4.14 | |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $2.63 | — | -$2.63 | 46% 37887-44532 (82419) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $17.99 | $21.08 | +$3.09 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $10.72 | — | -$10.72 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.5¢ | $8.6 | $10.3 | +$1.7 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $4.35 | $5 | +$0.65 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $5.62 | — | -$5.62 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $4.35 | — | -$4.35 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 62% 43587-26530 (70117) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.2¢ | $3.94 | — | -$3.94 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
Invested
$624.69
Value
$631
PnL
+$6.31
Record
12%
18033-132824 (150857)
Invested
$158.76
Value
$162
PnL
+$3.24
Record
93%
22615-1734 (24349)
Invested
$131.75
Value
$168.62
PnL
+$36.87
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
$111.77
Value
$125.57
PnL
+$13.81
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100Invested
$39.83
Value
$40.94
PnL
+$1.11
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.63
Value
—
PnL
-$2.63
Record
46%
37887-44532 (82419)
Invested
$17.99
Value
$21.08
PnL
+$3.09
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$10.72
Value
—
PnL
-$10.72
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
$8.6
Value
$10.3
PnL
+$1.7
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
Invested
$4.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.65
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
Invested
$5.62
Value
—
PnL
-$5.62
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$4.35
Value
—
PnL
-$4.35
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
62%
43587-26530 (70117)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.94
Value
—
PnL
-$3.94
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hsilverbasher
Up — $631
hoodquant
Up — $162
uninformedfloww
Up — $168.62
ply-pm2
Up — $125.57
OhioRiskManagement
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
Up — $21.08
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $10.3
dvasdkasodk
Up — $5