Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Up 50%
$485.79
-$95.25
Smart Money Signal
7 of 14 top traders (50%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 75.3Β’ | $289.99 | $312.62 | +$22.63 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 97.1Β’ | $149.79 | $97.77 | -$52.02 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.6Β’ | $45.15 | β | -$45.15 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 49.5Β’ | $20.73 | $24 | +$3.27 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 18.6Β’ | $12.12 | β | -$12.12 | 48% 23069-25170 (48239) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 82Β’ | $18.5 | $20.37 | +$1.87 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.2Β’ | $10.82 | $12.71 | +$1.89 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 82.6Β’ | $16.8 | $10.33 | -$0.37 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 58Β’ | $5.25 | $8 | +$2.75 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.5Β’ | $7.74 | β | -$7.74 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | $2.01 | β | -$2.01 | 59% 61979-43024 (105003) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.8Β’ | $2.87 | β | -$2.87 | 46% 37887-44532 (82419) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.7Β’ | $4.2 | β | -$4.2 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 12Β’ | $1.17 | β | -$1.17 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
Invested
$289.99
Value
$312.62
PnL
+$22.63
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
$149.79
Value
$97.77
PnL
-$52.02
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Invested
$45.15
Value
β
PnL
-$45.15
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
$20.73
Value
$24
PnL
+$3.27
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
$12.12
Value
β
PnL
-$12.12
Record
48%
23069-25170 (48239)
Invested
$18.5
Value
$20.37
PnL
+$1.87
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
$10.82
Value
$12.71
PnL
+$1.89
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$10.33
PnL
-$0.37
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
$5.25
Value
$8
PnL
+$2.75
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.74
Value
β
PnL
-$7.74
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
$2.01
Value
β
PnL
-$2.01
Record
59%
61979-43024 (105003)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.87
Value
β
PnL
-$2.87
Record
46%
37887-44532 (82419)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
β
PnL
-$4.2
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
$1.17
Value
β
PnL
-$1.17
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Up β $312.62
ply-pm2
Up β $97.77
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0
Bonereaper
Up β $24
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRDown β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up β $20.37
asdaefef
Up β $12.71
devonpoll
Up β $10.33
aaa221
Up β $8

OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown β $0