Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 79%
$391.01
-$185.53
Smart Money Signal
11 of 14 top traders (79%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $149.49 | $151 | +$1.51 | 93% 22615-1734 (24349) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 43.4Β’ | $228.88 | β | -$228.88 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 14.7Β’ | $14.34 | $72.85 | +$58.5 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 53.7Β’ | $26.4 | $35.84 | +$9.44 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84.8Β’ | $31.63 | $25.14 | -$6.49 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $21.53 | $21 | -$0.53 | 59% 61979-43024 (105003) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 14.5Β’ | $3.45 | $23.83 | +$20.38 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $11.33 | $11.25 | -$0.08 | 56% 57594-44483 (102077) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 60Β’ | $12.2 | $20.33 | +$8.13 | 65% 124286-66473 (190759) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $2.45 | $7.37 | +$4.92 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $12.01 | $17.15 | +$5.14 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $1.12 | β | -$1.12 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $2.73 | $5.25 | +$2.52 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 84.3Β’ | $62.23 | β | -$58.98 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
Invested
$149.49
Value
$151
PnL
+$1.51
Record
93%
22615-1734 (24349)
Invested
$228.88
Value
β
PnL
-$228.88
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$14.34
Value
$72.85
PnL
+$58.5
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$35.84
PnL
+$9.44
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
$31.63
Value
$25.14
PnL
-$6.49
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
Invested
$21.53
Value
$21
PnL
-$0.53
Record
59%
61979-43024 (105003)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
$23.83
PnL
+$20.38
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
$11.33
Value
$11.25
PnL
-$0.08
Record
56%
57594-44483 (102077)
Invested
$12.2
Value
$20.33
PnL
+$8.13
Record
65%
124286-66473 (190759)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$7.37
PnL
+$4.92
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$12.01
Value
$17.15
PnL
+$5.14
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
$1.12
Value
β
PnL
-$1.12
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
Invested
$2.73
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$2.52
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
$62.23
Value
β
PnL
-$58.98
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $151
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
Down β $72.85
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $35.84
asdaefef
Down β $25.14
0x50f7
Down β $21

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $23.83
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $11.25
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $20.33
asidjasiodja
Down β $7.37