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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 54%

Total Value

$126.2

Combined PnL

-$44.81

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$126.2
Total Shares126
Combined PnL-$7.38
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares532
Combined PnL-$37.44
Down — 46%Up — 54%
HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$63.04

Value

$63.68

PnL

+$0.64

Record

93%

22615-1734 (24349)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$40.4

Value

$25

PnL

-$15.4

Record

51%

6829-6526 (13355)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$11.86

Value

—

PnL

-$11.86

Record

59%

61979-43024 (105003)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$12.04

Value

$12

PnL

-$0.04

Record

61%

93968-59068 (153036)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$11.06

Value

—

PnL

-$11.06

Record

56%

57594-44483 (102077)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$11.4

Value

$15

PnL

+$3.6

Record

65%

124286-66473 (190759)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.16

Value

—

PnL

-$6.16

Record

49%

77593-80930 (158523)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.79

Value

—

PnL

-$5.79

Record

64%

39724-22691 (62415)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$2.64

Value

$5.39

PnL

+$2.75

Record

58%

37375-26622 (63997)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$4.05

Value

$5.13

PnL

+$1.08

Record

66%

124478-64082 (188560)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.92

Value

—

PnL

-$1.92

Record

58%

50799-36936 (87735)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.43

Value

—

PnL

-$0.43

Record

65%

21722-11935 (33657)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.21

Value

—

PnL

-$0.21

Record

55%

44030-36522 (80552)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xaf12e14d...9bc5cf
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793206800

Traders in this Market

HO

hoodquant

Down — $63.68

+$0.64
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $25

-$15.4
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$11.86
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $12

-$0.04
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Up — $0

-$11.06
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $15

+$3.6

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.16

ohioism

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.79
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $5.39

+$2.75
AS

asdaefef

Down — $5.13

+$1.08
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