Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 63%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
$13.42
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 55.7¢ | $244.74 | $308.64 | +$63.9 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 55.7¢ | $171.8 | $308.64 | +$136.84 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 20.9¢ | $72.94 | — | -$72.94 | |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 78.9¢ | $235.99 | $299.06 | +$63.07 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 80.1¢ | $122.63 | $153.12 | +$30.49 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 79.8¢ | $105.95 | $132.84 | +$26.89 | 46% 37887-44532 (82419) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 68.6¢ | $74.43 | $108.44 | +$34.01 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.2¢ | $88.76 | — | -$88.76 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $26.65 | — | -$26.65 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 66.9¢ | $53.29 | $53.27 | +$18.83 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 34.6¢ | $48.1 | — | -$48.1 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $16.2 | $20 | +$3.8 | 65% 124286-66473 (190759) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 81.8¢ | $10.68 | $11.13 | +$0.45 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 25.8¢ | $30.98 | — | -$6.49 | 48% 23069-25170 (48239) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $7.5 | $10.14 | +$2.64 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $8.25 | $15 | +$6.75 | 12% 18033-132824 (150857) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $2.93 | — | -$2.93 | 58% 60123-43891 (104014) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $4.5 | $5.63 | +$1.13 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 74% 102141-36314 (138455) |
Invested
$244.74
Value
$308.64
PnL
+$63.9
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$235.99
Value
$299.06
PnL
+$63.07
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
$122.63
Value
$153.12
PnL
+$30.49
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
pspspsps5Invested
$105.95
Value
$132.84
PnL
+$26.89
Record
46%
37887-44532 (82419)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$74.43
Value
$108.44
PnL
+$34.01
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
$88.76
Value
—
PnL
-$88.76
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
$26.65
Value
—
PnL
-$26.65
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
$53.29
Value
$53.27
PnL
+$18.83
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$48.1
Value
—
PnL
-$48.1
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
$16.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.8
Record
65%
124286-66473 (190759)
Invested
$10.68
Value
$11.13
PnL
+$0.45
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$30.98
Value
—
PnL
-$6.49
Record
48%
23069-25170 (48239)
Invested
$7.5
Value
$10.14
PnL
+$2.64
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
$8.25
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.75
Record
12%
18033-132824 (150857)
Invested
$2.93
Value
—
PnL
-$2.93
Record
58%
60123-43891 (104014)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$5.63
PnL
+$1.13
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
74%
102141-36314 (138455)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $299.06
uninformedfloww
Up — $153.12
pspspsps5
Up — $132.84
MayorMamdani
Up — $108.44
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $53.27
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $20