Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$330.48
-$96.5
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 99¢ | $181.68 | $183.52 | +$1.84 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14ARB<$100 | Upavg 51.4¢ | $59.55 | $59.49 | -$0.06 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 43.6¢ | $28.95 | — | -$28.95 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51.4¢ | $30.6 | $59.49 | +$28.89 | |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.7¢ | $76.38 | — | -$76.38 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 76.5¢ | $39.64 | $40.21 | +$0.57 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $4.73 | $16 | +$11.27 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $12.54 | $14.01 | +$1.47 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $10.33 | — | -$10.33 | 58% 60123-43891 (104014) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $11.76 | $12 | +$0.24 | 93% 22615-1734 (24349) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $9.8 | — | -$9.8 | 65% 124286-66473 (190759) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $6.4 | — | -$6.4 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $3.85 | — | -$3.85 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $14.49 | $5.25 | -$5.74 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $1.39 | — | -$1.39 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $17.8 | — | +$2 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
Invested
$181.68
Value
$183.52
PnL
+$1.84
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
$59.55
Value
$59.49
PnL
-$0.06
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Both legs:
Invested
$76.38
Value
—
PnL
-$76.38
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Invested
$39.64
Value
$40.21
PnL
+$0.57
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.73
Value
$16
PnL
+$11.27
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
$12.54
Value
$14.01
PnL
+$1.47
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
Invested
$10.33
Value
—
PnL
-$10.33
Record
58%
60123-43891 (104014)
Invested
$11.76
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.24
Record
93%
22615-1734 (24349)
Invested
$9.8
Value
—
PnL
-$9.8
Record
65%
124286-66473 (190759)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$6.4
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
$3.85
Value
—
PnL
-$3.85
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
Invested
$14.49
Value
$5.25
PnL
-$5.74
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
$1.39
Value
—
PnL
-$1.39
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
$17.8
Value
—
PnL
+$2
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Up — $183.52
Kathod-Shi-14
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
Up — $40.21
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $16
asdaefef
Up — $14.01
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $12
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0