Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 53%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$530.55

Combined PnL

-$88.59

Smart Money Signal

10 of 18 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$174.55

Total Shares175

Combined PnL+$17.5

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares478

Combined PnL-$106.09

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 45.3¢	$158.2	$190.26	+$32.06	51% 6829-6526 (13355)
└ Down leg	Downavg 45.3¢	$86.09	$190.26	+$104.17
└ Up leg	Upavg 21.9¢	$72.11	—	-$72.11
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Downavg 74.4¢	$146.25	$165.74	+$19.49	57% 69881-53093 (122974)
└ Down leg	Downavg 74.4¢	$123.25	$165.74	+$42.49
└ Up leg	Upavg 8.5¢	$23	—	-$23
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 85.1¢	$53.89	$46.02	-$7.87	65% 124286-66473 (190759)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 90.6¢	$29.37	$29.15	-$0.22	66% 124478-64082 (188560)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 12.3¢	$24.14	—	-$24.14	49% 77593-80930 (158523)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 22.4¢	$11.66	—	-$11.66	58% 37375-26622 (63997)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Upavg 44¢	$22.72	—	-$22.72	48% 23069-25170 (48239)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 48.5¢	$9.7	$20	+$10.3	61% 93968-59068 (153036)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 60.3¢	$15.37	$17.92	+$2.55	52% 89418-83862 (173280)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 31.1¢	$9.1	—	-$9.1	65% 21722-11935 (33657)
BO BonereaperCTR<$100	Upavg 49.8¢	$12.45	—	-$12.45	66% 98635-51024 (149659)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 75¢	$18.96	$25.28	+$6.32	74% 102141-36314 (138455)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 75¢	$18.96	$25.28	+$6.32	62% 43587-26530 (70117)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 11.1¢	$6.61	—	-$6.61	46% 37887-44532 (82419)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$8.28	—	-$8.28	56% 57594-44483 (102077)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 26.1¢	$10.75	—	-$10.75	55% 17284-13893 (31177)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$6.41	$6.42	+$0.01	59% 61979-43024 (105003)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 98¢	$4.39	$4.48	+$0.09	64% 39724-22691 (62415)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 6¢	$0.4	—	-$0.4	55% 44030-36522 (80552)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19791-18936 (38727)