Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 55%
$386.02
$24.69
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 99Β’ | $157.24 | $158.83 | +$1.59 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $52.51 | $61.88 | +$9.37 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 70.6Β’ | $70.6 | $100 | +$29.4 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.4Β’ | $43.49 | $43.11 | -$0.38 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | $3.03 | β | -$3.03 | 58% 60123-43891 (104014) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87.1Β’ | $20.34 | $21.19 | +$0.85 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1.8Β’ | $5.28 | β | -$5.28 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $2.78 | β | -$2.78 | 46% 37887-44532 (82419) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $1 | $1.02 | +$0.02 | 93% 22615-1734 (24349) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 44Β’ | $52.08 | β | -$4.44 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.7Β’ | $0.62 | β | -$0.62 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
Invested
$157.24
Value
$158.83
PnL
+$1.59
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
$52.51
Value
$61.88
PnL
+$9.37
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Invested
$70.6
Value
$100
PnL
+$29.4
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
$43.49
Value
$43.11
PnL
-$0.38
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$3.03
Value
β
PnL
-$3.03
Record
58%
60123-43891 (104014)
Invested
$20.34
Value
$21.19
PnL
+$0.85
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$5.28
Value
β
PnL
-$5.28
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.78
Value
β
PnL
-$2.78
Record
46%
37887-44532 (82419)
Invested
$1
Value
$1.02
PnL
+$0.02
Record
93%
22615-1734 (24349)
Invested
$52.08
Value
β
PnL
-$4.44
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.62
Value
β
PnL
-$0.62
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down β $158.83
ply-pm2
Down β $61.88
uninformedfloww
Down β $100
asidjasiodja
Down β $43.11
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $21.19

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $1.02
aaa221
CTRUp β $0