Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 65%
$608.8
$10.1
Smart Money Signal
11 of 17 top traders (65%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 67.6¢ | $238.2 | $218.84 | -$19.35 | 51% 6811-6496 (13307) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 60.7¢ | $46.54 | $40.67 | -$5.87 | 54% 10430-8903 (19333) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.5¢ | $42.2 | — | -$42.2 | 55% 17240-13879 (31119) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $32.87 | — | -$32.87 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 55.1¢ | $57.68 | $53.58 | -$4.1 | 59% 21804-15144 (36948) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 28.8¢ | $50.07 | $161.55 | +$111.49 | 57% 69844-53054 (122898) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $32.66 | — | -$32.66 | 65% 21685-11906 (33591) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $16.16 | $31.99 | +$15.83 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.8¢ | $7.02 | — | -$7.02 | 49% 77576-80896 (158472) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $9.33 | $22.75 | +$13.42 | 58% 60112-43881 (103993) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 57.3¢ | $15.45 | $23.41 | +$7.96 | 61% 93938-59036 (152974) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 54.9¢ | $9.34 | $17 | +$7.66 | 66% 98615-51003 (149618) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $27.72 | $28 | +$0.28 | 93% 22581-1734 (24315) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $3.24 | — | -$3.24 | 46% 37880-44497 (82377) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $5.16 | — | -$5.16 | 12% 18018-132811 (150829) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $3.12 | $6 | +$2.88 | 66% 124477-64080 (188557) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $1.95 | $5 | +$3.05 | 65% 124252-66451 (190703) |
Invested
$238.2
Value
$218.84
PnL
-$19.35
Record
51%
6811-6496 (13307)
Invested
$46.54
Value
$40.67
PnL
-$5.87
Record
54%
10430-8903 (19333)
Invested
$42.2
Value
—
PnL
-$42.2
Record
55%
17240-13879 (31119)
Invested
$32.87
Value
—
PnL
-$32.87
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
$57.68
Value
$53.58
PnL
-$4.1
Record
59%
21804-15144 (36948)
Invested
$50.07
Value
$161.55
PnL
+$111.49
Record
57%
69844-53054 (122898)
Invested
$32.66
Value
—
PnL
-$32.66
Record
65%
21685-11906 (33591)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.16
Value
$31.99
PnL
+$15.83
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.02
Value
—
PnL
-$7.02
Record
49%
77576-80896 (158472)
Invested
$9.33
Value
$22.75
PnL
+$13.42
Record
58%
60112-43881 (103993)
Invested
$15.45
Value
$23.41
PnL
+$7.96
Record
61%
93938-59036 (152974)
Invested
$9.34
Value
$17
PnL
+$7.66
Record
66%
98615-51003 (149618)
Invested
$27.72
Value
$28
PnL
+$0.28
Record
93%
22581-1734 (24315)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
—
PnL
-$3.24
Record
46%
37880-44497 (82377)
Invested
$5.16
Value
—
PnL
-$5.16
Record
12%
18018-132811 (150829)
Invested
$3.12
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.88
Record
66%
124477-64080 (188557)
Invested
$1.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.05
Record
65%
124252-66451 (190703)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $218.84
thesidehustle
Down — $40.67
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
rabadabadoo
Down — $53.58
uninformedfloww
Down — $161.55
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $31.99
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $22.75