Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 53%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$704.43

Combined PnL

$41.55

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 17 top traders (47%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares247

Combined PnL-$107.46

Down8 traders

Total Value$362.89

Total Shares363

Combined PnL+$149

Up — 53%Down — 47%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Upavg 59¢	$234.29	$159.76	-$74.52	57% 69881-53093 (122974)
└ Up leg	Upavg 59¢	$160.64	—	-$160.64
└ Down leg	Downavg 46.1¢	$73.65	$159.76	+$86.11
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 45¢	$128.53	$181.78	+$53.25	51% 6829-6526 (13355)
└ Down leg	Downavg 45¢	$81.83	$181.78	+$99.95
└ Up leg	Upavg 32¢	$46.7	—	-$46.7
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 29.3¢	$27.02	—	-$27.02	55% 17284-13893 (31177)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 14.7¢	$10.6	$71.99	+$61.39	58% 37375-26622 (63997)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 83.4¢	$45.34	$51.48	+$6.14	56% 57594-44483 (102077)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 22.6¢	$16.81	—	-$16.81	49% 77593-80930 (158523)
BO Bonereaper<$100	Downavg 99¢	$56.48	$54.47	-$2.01	66% 98635-51024 (149659)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 76¢	$46.22	$38.45	-$7.77	61% 93968-59068 (153036)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 81.5¢	$40.6	—	-$40.6	65% 124286-66473 (190759)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 85¢	$42.65	$50.18	+$7.53	74% 102141-36314 (138455)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 72.7¢	$28.46	$24.84	-$3.62	66% 124478-64082 (188560)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Downavg 43¢	$24.38	$36.48	+$48.57	59% 21804-15144 (36948)
TH thesidehustle<$100	Downavg 52.4¢	$31.24	$35	+$38.76	54% 10444-8916 (19360)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 19¢	$6.35	—	-$6.35	58% 60123-43891 (104014)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 82¢	$12.3	—	-$12.3	64% 39724-22691 (62415)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 16¢	$2.27	—	-$2.27	55% 44030-36522 (80552)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 53¢	$2.07	—	-$2.07	65% 21722-11935 (33657)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$0.03	—	-$0.03	52% 89418-83862 (173280)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19791-18936 (38727)