Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 60%
$86.61
-$21.82
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 72.2Β’ | $97.51 | $75 | -$22.51 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $5.66 | $5.86 | +$6.06 | 59% 21804-15144 (36948) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 40Β’ | $2.3 | $5.75 | +$3.45 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 62Β’ | $7.12 | β | -$5.03 | 54% 10444-8916 (19360) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 63Β’ | $14.56 | β | -$14.56 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 37.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 31.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 72.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 58.5Β’ | $5.85 | β | +$10.77 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
Invested
$97.51
Value
$75
PnL
-$22.51
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Invested
$5.66
Value
$5.86
PnL
+$6.06
Record
59%
21804-15144 (36948)
Invested
$2.3
Value
$5.75
PnL
+$3.45
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
$7.12
Value
β
PnL
-$5.03
Record
54%
10444-8916 (19360)
Invested
$14.56
Value
β
PnL
-$14.56
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$5.85
Value
β
PnL
+$10.77
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $75
rabadabadoo
Down β $5.86
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $5.75
thesidehustle
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
Bonereaper
Down β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $0
uninformedfloww
Down β $0

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0