Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 43%
1 arb excluded
$929.8
-$50.4
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 99¢ | $624.69 | $631 | +$6.31 | 66% 98507-50941 (149448) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.2¢ | $145.71 | $141.07 | -$4.64 | 51% 6782-6478 (13260) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.2¢ | $79.33 | — | -$79.33 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 47.1¢ | $66.38 | $141.07 | +$74.69 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 99¢ | $109.89 | $111 | +$1.11 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.2¢ | $55.05 | — | -$55.05 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $35.29 | $46.73 | +$11.43 | 65% 21630-11888 (33518) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.7¢ | $8.3 | — | -$8.3 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 49% 77558-80867 (158425) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
Invested
$624.69
Value
$631
PnL
+$6.31
Record
66%
98507-50941 (149448)
Invested
$145.71
Value
$141.07
PnL
-$4.64
Record
51%
6782-6478 (13260)
Both legs:
Invested
$109.89
Value
$111
PnL
+$1.11
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
$55.05
Value
—
PnL
-$55.05
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
Invested
$35.29
Value
$46.73
PnL
+$11.43
Record
65%
21630-11888 (33518)
Invested
$8.3
Value
—
PnL
-$8.3
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
49%
77558-80867 (158425)
Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
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