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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$675.32

Combined PnL

-$33.25

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$628.22

Total Shares628

Combined PnL+$25.1

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares175

Combined PnL-$58.35

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 96¢	$322.11	$317.89	-$4.22	66% 98507-50941 (149448)
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 72.9¢	$204.02	$178.95	-$25.07	51% 6782-6478 (13260)
KA Kathod-Shi-14ARB<$100	Downavg 49.2¢	$104.16	$47.09	-$57.07	55% 17218-13857 (31075)
└ Up leg	Upavg 65.1¢	$30.65	$47.09	+$16.44
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.2¢	$73.51	—	-$73.51
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 25.7¢	$43.39	—	-$43.39	57% 69807-53034 (122841)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 67.4¢	$35.56	$52.79	+$17.23	65% 21630-11888 (33518)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 32.5¢	$28.06	$50.29	+$22.23	58% 60103-43871 (103974)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 48.3¢	$9.8	$20.31	+$10.51	65% 124216-66433 (190649)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 34¢	$3.58	$8	+$4.42	61% 93901-59012 (152913)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 37.7¢	$5.81	—	-$5.81	52% 89352-83806 (173158)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 15¢	$1.95	—	-$1.95	63% 51186-30116 (81302)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 56¢	$7.2	—	-$7.2	49% 77558-80867 (158425)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19760-18914 (38674)

Invested

$322.11

Value

$317.89

PnL

-$4.22

Record

66%

98507-50941 (149448)

Invested

$204.02

Value

$178.95

PnL

-$25.07

Record

51%

6782-6478 (13260)

Kathod-Shi-14ARB<$100

Invested

$104.16

Value

$47.09

PnL

-$57.07

Record

55%

17218-13857 (31075)

Both legs:

Up$30.6565.1¢+$16.44

Down$73.5149.2¢-$73.51

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$43.39

Value

—

PnL

-$43.39

Record

57%

69807-53034 (122841)

Invested

$35.56

Value

$52.79

PnL

+$17.23

Record

65%

21630-11888 (33518)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$28.06

Value

$50.29

PnL

+$22.23

Record

58%

60103-43871 (103974)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$9.8

Value

$20.31

PnL

+$10.51

Record

65%

124216-66433 (190649)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$3.58

Value

$8

PnL

+$4.42

Record

61%

93901-59012 (152913)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$5.81

Value

—

PnL

-$5.81

Record

52%

89352-83806 (173158)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$1.95

Value

—

PnL

-$1.95

Record

63%

51186-30116 (81302)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$7.2

Value

—

PnL

-$7.2

Record

49%

77558-80867 (158425)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19760-18914 (38674)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe804fa0f...b00f6f

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793199300

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $317.89

ply-pm2

Up — $178.95

Kathod-Shi-14

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $52.79

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $50.29

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20.31

asidjasiodja

Up — $8

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $0

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