Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 50%
$474.15
$27.61
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $342.69 | $346.23 | +$3.54 | 93% 22557-1734 (24291) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 51.5Β’ | $41.2 | $80 | +$38.8 | 51% 6782-6478 (13260) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $24.49 | $25.25 | +$0.76 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3Β’ | $7.78 | β | -$7.78 | 49% 77558-80867 (158425) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 73.8Β’ | $10.88 | $11 | +$0.12 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $1.09 | β | -$1.09 | 58% 60103-43871 (103974) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $1.01 | β | -$1.01 | 62% 43576-26505 (70081) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $5.72 | $6.67 | +$0.94 | 65% 21630-11888 (33518) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.91 | β | -$0.91 | 46% 37870-44464 (82334) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $2.5 | $5 | +$2.5 | 66% 98507-50941 (149448) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $6.9 | β | -$6.9 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 13Β’ | $1.36 | β | -$1.36 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
Invested
$342.69
Value
$346.23
PnL
+$3.54
Record
93%
22557-1734 (24291)
Invested
$41.2
Value
$80
PnL
+$38.8
Record
51%
6782-6478 (13260)
Invested
$24.49
Value
$25.25
PnL
+$0.76
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.78
Value
β
PnL
-$7.78
Record
49%
77558-80867 (158425)
Invested
$10.88
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.12
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
Invested
$1.09
Value
β
PnL
-$1.09
Record
58%
60103-43871 (103974)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.01
Value
β
PnL
-$1.01
Record
62%
43576-26505 (70081)
Invested
$5.72
Value
$6.67
PnL
+$0.94
Record
65%
21630-11888 (33518)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.91
Value
β
PnL
-$0.91
Record
46%
37870-44464 (82334)
Invested
$2.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.5
Record
66%
98507-50941 (149448)
Invested
$6.9
Value
β
PnL
-$6.9
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
Invested
$1.36
Value
β
PnL
-$1.36
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $346.23
ply-pm2
Down β $80
uninformedfloww
Down β $25.25

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $11
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $6.67

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
Bonereaper
Down β $5