Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 58%
$327.48
-$10.78
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.2Β’ | $108.17 | $110.19 | +$2.02 | 93% 22557-1734 (24291) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90.6Β’ | $52.74 | $57 | +$4.26 | 65% 124216-66433 (190649) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 70.9Β’ | $47.64 | $67.23 | +$19.59 | 51% 6782-6478 (13260) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 88.6Β’ | $35.48 | $40.07 | +$4.59 | 63% 51186-30116 (81302) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 34.4Β’ | $26.5 | β | -$26.5 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 65Β’ | $18.92 | $20 | +$1.08 | 65% 21630-11888 (33518) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 76Β’ | $15.2 | $20 | +$4.8 | 64% 39712-22672 (62384) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.7Β’ | $2.42 | β | -$2.42 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 8Β’ | $1.08 | β | -$1.08 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $6.37 | $13 | +$6.63 | 66% 98507-50941 (149448) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 111557-57803 (169360) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.2Β’ | $23.7 | β | -$23.7 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19760-18914 (38674) |
Invested
$108.17
Value
$110.19
PnL
+$2.02
Record
93%
22557-1734 (24291)
Invested
$52.74
Value
$57
PnL
+$4.26
Record
65%
124216-66433 (190649)
Invested
$47.64
Value
$67.23
PnL
+$19.59
Record
51%
6782-6478 (13260)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$35.48
Value
$40.07
PnL
+$4.59
Record
63%
51186-30116 (81302)
Invested
$26.5
Value
β
PnL
-$26.5
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
Invested
$18.92
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.08
Record
65%
21630-11888 (33518)
ohioism<$100Invested
$15.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.8
Record
64%
39712-22672 (62384)
Invested
$2.42
Value
β
PnL
-$2.42
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
Invested
$1.08
Value
β
PnL
-$1.08
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
Invested
$6.37
Value
$13
PnL
+$6.63
Record
66%
98507-50941 (149448)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111557-57803 (169360)
Invested
$23.7
Value
β
PnL
-$23.7
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19760-18914 (38674)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $110.19
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $57
ply-pm2
Down β $67.23

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $40.07
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $20

ohioism
Down β $20
asidjasiodja
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0
Bonereaper
Down β $13