Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$218.23
$17.39
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 71.8Β’ | $122.24 | $48.35 | -$73.89 | 51% 6782-6478 (13260) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 58.5Β’ | $28.28 | $48.35 | +$20.07 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 71.8Β’ | $93.96 | β | -$93.96 | |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $66.64 | $67.31 | +$0.67 | 66% 98507-50941 (149448) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | $28.46 | $60 | +$31.54 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.3Β’ | $5.16 | β | -$5.16 | 49% 77558-80867 (158425) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.7Β’ | $10.27 | β | -$10.27 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 30.5Β’ | $8.75 | β | -$8.75 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 57Β’ | $5.91 | $10.36 | +$4.45 | 56% 57568-44448 (102016) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | $7.12 | $8.79 | +$1.67 | 65% 21630-11888 (33518) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $3.81 | $5.13 | +$1.31 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 54.8Β’ | $11.1 | $10.24 | +$1.24 | 51% 19760-18914 (38674) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 25Β’ | $5.61 | β | -$5.61 | 64% 39712-22672 (62384) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 22Β’ | $1.77 | $8.06 | +$6.29 | 65% 124216-66433 (190649) |
Invested
$122.24
Value
$48.35
PnL
-$73.89
Record
51%
6782-6478 (13260)
Both legs:
Invested
$66.64
Value
$67.31
PnL
+$0.67
Record
66%
98507-50941 (149448)
Invested
$28.46
Value
$60
PnL
+$31.54
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$5.16
Value
β
PnL
-$5.16
Record
49%
77558-80867 (158425)
Invested
$10.27
Value
β
PnL
-$10.27
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
Invested
$8.75
Value
β
PnL
-$8.75
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
Invested
$5.91
Value
$10.36
PnL
+$4.45
Record
56%
57568-44448 (102016)
Invested
$7.12
Value
$8.79
PnL
+$1.67
Record
65%
21630-11888 (33518)
Invested
$3.81
Value
$5.13
PnL
+$1.31
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
Invested
$11.1
Value
$10.24
PnL
+$1.24
Record
51%
19760-18914 (38674)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.61
Value
β
PnL
-$5.61
Record
64%
39712-22672 (62384)
Invested
$1.77
Value
$8.06
PnL
+$6.29
Record
65%
124216-66433 (190649)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
Bonereaper
Up β $67.31
uninformedfloww
Up β $60

OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up β $10.36
aaa221
Up β $8.79
asidjasiodja
Up β $5.13
devonpoll
Up β $10.24