Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 79%
2 arb excluded
$970.33
-$49.57
Smart Money Signal
11 of 14 top traders (79%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 76.4¢ | $353.02 | $390.53 | +$37.51 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.1¢ | $32.24 | — | -$32.24 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $81.62 | $80 | -$1.62 | 51% 6762-6452 (13214) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28¢ | $45.22 | — | -$45.22 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45.5¢ | $36.4 | $80 | +$43.6 | |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 91.2¢ | $265.68 | $218.68 | -$35.61 | 48% 23052-25114 (48166) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 11.2¢ | $18.65 | — | -$18.65 | 46% 37858-44441 (82299) |
AS asidjasiodjaARB<$100 | Upavg 68.9¢ | $85.39 | $82.47 | -$2.92 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 68.9¢ | $56.85 | $82.47 | +$25.62 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46.4¢ | $28.54 | — | -$28.54 | |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 70.8¢ | $42.06 | $52.59 | +$10.53 | 56% 57551-44443 (101994) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $53.44 | $31.63 | -$13.79 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 55.8¢ | $32.03 | $33.82 | +$1.79 | 52% 89316-83776 (173092) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 73.4¢ | $20.47 | $27.9 | +$7.43 | 64% 39705-22669 (62374) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $12.96 | — | -$12.96 | 66% 98506-50940 (149446) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $29.27 | $12.81 | +$2.37 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $16 | $20 | +$4 | 58% 60094-43864 (103958) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 69.4¢ | $9.09 | $8.63 | -$0.46 | 54% 10390-8862 (19252) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $9.5 | $10 | +$0.5 | 51% 19757-18903 (38660) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $1.26 | $1.26 | +$0 | 59% 61960-42991 (104951) |
Invested
$353.02
Value
$390.53
PnL
+$37.51
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$32.24
Value
—
PnL
-$32.24
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
Invested
$81.62
Value
$80
PnL
-$1.62
Record
51%
6762-6452 (13214)
Both legs:
Invested
$265.68
Value
$218.68
PnL
-$35.61
Record
48%
23052-25114 (48166)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$18.65
Value
—
PnL
-$18.65
Record
46%
37858-44441 (82299)
Invested
$85.39
Value
$82.47
PnL
-$2.92
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
Both legs:
Invested
$42.06
Value
$52.59
PnL
+$10.53
Record
56%
57551-44443 (101994)
Invested
$53.44
Value
$31.63
PnL
-$13.79
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
Invested
$32.03
Value
$33.82
PnL
+$1.79
Record
52%
89316-83776 (173092)
ohioism<$100Invested
$20.47
Value
$27.9
PnL
+$7.43
Record
64%
39705-22669 (62374)
Invested
$12.96
Value
—
PnL
-$12.96
Record
66%
98506-50940 (149446)
Invested
$29.27
Value
$12.81
PnL
+$2.37
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
Invested
$16
Value
$20
PnL
+$4
Record
58%
60094-43864 (103958)
Invested
$9.09
Value
$8.63
PnL
-$0.46
Record
54%
10390-8862 (19252)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.5
Record
51%
19757-18903 (38660)
Invested
$1.26
Value
$1.26
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
61960-42991 (104951)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Up — $390.53
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $218.68
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $52.59
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $31.63
dvasdkasodk
Up — $33.82
ohioism
Up — $27.9