Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Down 67%
$330.22
-$55.82
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 77.4Β’ | $154.29 | $156.05 | +$1.76 | 51% 6762-6452 (13214) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.6Β’ | $50.95 | β | -$50.95 | 55% 17202-13832 (31034) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 89Β’ | $36.2 | $26.6 | -$9.6 | 46% 37858-44441 (82299) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 87.7Β’ | $30.66 | $27.69 | -$1.15 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $26.84 | $24.99 | -$1.85 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 47.8Β’ | $23.59 | $49.31 | +$25.73 | 58% 50774-36908 (87682) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 59.4Β’ | $14.87 | $18.46 | +$3.59 | 54% 10390-8862 (19252) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $10.4 | β | -$10.4 | 62% 43572-26500 (70072) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 89.2Β’ | $5.46 | $6.12 | +$0.66 | 52% 89316-83776 (173092) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $5.72 | β | -$5.72 | 12% 17985-132788 (150773) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $5.72 | β | -$5.72 | 66% 98506-50940 (149446) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 91.1Β’ | $10.02 | $11 | +$0.98 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 46Β’ | $2.3 | $5 | +$2.7 | 64% 39705-22669 (62374) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 64Β’ | $3.2 | $5 | +$1.8 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.1Β’ | $7.65 | β | -$7.65 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19757-18903 (38660) |
Invested
$154.29
Value
$156.05
PnL
+$1.76
Record
51%
6762-6452 (13214)
Invested
$50.95
Value
β
PnL
-$50.95
Record
55%
17202-13832 (31034)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$36.2
Value
$26.6
PnL
-$9.6
Record
46%
37858-44441 (82299)
Invested
$30.66
Value
$27.69
PnL
-$1.15
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
Invested
$26.84
Value
$24.99
PnL
-$1.85
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
Invested
$23.59
Value
$49.31
PnL
+$25.73
Record
58%
50774-36908 (87682)
Invested
$14.87
Value
$18.46
PnL
+$3.59
Record
54%
10390-8862 (19252)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$10.4
Value
β
PnL
-$10.4
Record
62%
43572-26500 (70072)
Invested
$5.46
Value
$6.12
PnL
+$0.66
Record
52%
89316-83776 (173092)
Invested
$5.72
Value
β
PnL
-$5.72
Record
12%
17985-132788 (150773)
Invested
$5.72
Value
β
PnL
-$5.72
Record
66%
98506-50940 (149446)
Invested
$10.02
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.98
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.7
Record
64%
39705-22669 (62374)
Invested
$3.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.8
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.65
Value
β
PnL
-$7.65
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19757-18903 (38660)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $156.05
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0

pspspsps5
Down β $26.6
aaa221
Down β $27.69
uninformedfloww
Down β $24.99
PBot-6
Down β $49.31
thesidehustle
Down β $18.46

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $6.12
Hsilverbasher
CTRUp β $0