Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 42%
$379.6
-$236.97
Smart Money Signal
5 of 13 top traders (38%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $252.45 | $255 | +$2.55 | 93% 22538-1732 (24270) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 35.3Β’ | $181.24 | β | -$181.24 | 51% 6762-6452 (13214) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 43.9Β’ | $26.36 | $59.99 | +$33.63 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 54.1Β’ | $26.64 | β | -$26.64 | 54% 10390-8862 (19252) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $18.96 | β | -$18.96 | 56% 57551-44443 (101994) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 62.1Β’ | $42.4 | β | -$42.4 | 55% 17202-13832 (31034) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 57.6Β’ | $11.6 | $20.13 | +$8.53 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 89.2Β’ | $11.13 | $12.48 | +$1.35 | 63% 51166-30114 (81280) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.7Β’ | $19.61 | β | -$19.61 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $9.86 | β | -$9.86 | 66% 111532-57780 (169312) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 34.9Β’ | $11.16 | $32 | +$20.84 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 74Β’ | $5.15 | β | -$5.15 | 62% 43572-26500 (70072) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 62Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19757-18903 (38660) |
Invested
$252.45
Value
$255
PnL
+$2.55
Record
93%
22538-1732 (24270)
Invested
$181.24
Value
β
PnL
-$181.24
Record
51%
6762-6452 (13214)
Invested
$26.36
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$33.63
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
Invested
$26.64
Value
β
PnL
-$26.64
Record
54%
10390-8862 (19252)
Invested
$18.96
Value
β
PnL
-$18.96
Record
56%
57551-44443 (101994)
Invested
$42.4
Value
β
PnL
-$42.4
Record
55%
17202-13832 (31034)
Invested
$11.6
Value
$20.13
PnL
+$8.53
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$11.13
Value
$12.48
PnL
+$1.35
Record
63%
51166-30114 (81280)
Invested
$19.61
Value
β
PnL
-$19.61
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
Invested
$9.86
Value
β
PnL
-$9.86
Record
66%
111532-57780 (169312)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$11.16
Value
$32
PnL
+$20.84
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$5.15
Value
β
PnL
-$5.15
Record
62%
43572-26500 (70072)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19757-18903 (38660)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $255
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $59.99
thesidehustle
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $20.13

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $12.48
asidjasiodja
CTRUp β $0
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0