Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 50%
$289.24
-$2.69
Smart Money Signal
7 of 14 top traders (50%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 77.2Β’ | $143.51 | $149.26 | +$5.75 | 51% 6762-6452 (13214) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 94.9Β’ | $56.49 | $59.55 | +$3.06 | 66% 98506-50940 (149446) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.1Β’ | $17.21 | β | -$17.21 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 57.3Β’ | $23.2 | $30 | +$6.8 | 54% 10390-8862 (19252) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $7.25 | $25 | +$17.75 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.2Β’ | $2.37 | β | -$2.37 | 46% 37858-44441 (82299) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $11.5 | $12.5 | +$1 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.6Β’ | $12.3 | β | -$12.3 | 55% 17202-13832 (31034) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $5.3 | $5 | -$0.3 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 63Β’ | $5 | $7.93 | +$2.93 | 66% 111532-57780 (169312) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 69Β’ | $5.31 | β | -$5.31 | 64% 39705-22669 (62374) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 10Β’ | $1.1 | β | -$1.1 | 51% 19757-18903 (38660) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | $0.6 | β | -$0.6 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 15Β’ | $0.8 | β | -$0.8 | 56% 57551-44443 (101994) |
Invested
$143.51
Value
$149.26
PnL
+$5.75
Record
51%
6762-6452 (13214)
Invested
$56.49
Value
$59.55
PnL
+$3.06
Record
66%
98506-50940 (149446)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$17.21
Value
β
PnL
-$17.21
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
Invested
$23.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.8
Record
54%
10390-8862 (19252)
Invested
$7.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$17.75
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.37
Value
β
PnL
-$2.37
Record
46%
37858-44441 (82299)
Invested
$11.5
Value
$12.5
PnL
+$1
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
Invested
$12.3
Value
β
PnL
-$12.3
Record
55%
17202-13832 (31034)
Invested
$5.3
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.3
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
Invested
$5
Value
$7.93
PnL
+$2.93
Record
66%
111532-57780 (169312)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.31
Value
β
PnL
-$5.31
Record
64%
39705-22669 (62374)
Invested
$1.1
Value
β
PnL
-$1.1
Record
51%
19757-18903 (38660)
Invested
$0.6
Value
β
PnL
-$0.6
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
Invested
$0.8
Value
β
PnL
-$0.8
Record
56%
57551-44443 (101994)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $149.26
Bonereaper
Down β $59.55

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
thesidehustle
Down β $30
uninformedfloww
Down β $25

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $12.5
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $5
antsaslyku
Down β $7.93