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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 55%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$548.7

Combined PnL

-$122.52

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$122.01
Total Shares122
Combined PnL+$29.33
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares345
Combined PnL-$151.86
Down β€” 42%Up β€” 58%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xee5fac4a...81bd0f
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793193000
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