Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 56%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$650.29

Combined PnL

-$80.86

Smart Money Signal

10 of 17 top traders (59%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$185.66

Total Shares186

Combined PnL+$48.86

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares246

Combined PnL-$129.73

Down — 41%Up — 59%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 42.4¢	$278.7	$365.32	+$86.63	51% 6762-6452 (13214)
└ Down leg	Downavg 42.4¢	$154.89	$365.32	+$210.44
└ Up leg	Upavg 25.8¢	$123.81	—	-$123.81
TH thesidehustleARB<$100	Downavg 60¢	$93.85	$99.31	+$5.46	54% 10390-8862 (19252)
└ Down leg	Downavg 60¢	$59.56	$99.31	+$39.75
└ Up leg	Upavg 39.7¢	$34.29	—	-$34.29
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 65.6¢	$75.31	$67.99	-$7.32	61% 93853-58992 (152845)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Downavg 29.8¢	$17.03	$49.24	+$32.21	63% 51166-30114 (81280)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 65.3¢	$36.09	—	-$36.09	65% 21587-11860 (33447)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 22¢	$15.42	—	-$15.42	62% 43572-26500 (70072)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 73¢	$18.25	$25	+$6.75	57% 69767-53019 (122786)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 67¢	$44.2	—	-$38.1	65% 124010-66298 (190308)
BO BonereaperCTR<$100	Upavg 63¢	$13.93	—	-$13.93	66% 98506-50940 (149446)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 32.7¢	$15.6	—	-$15.6	49% 77541-80829 (158370)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 43¢	$8.43	$19.6	+$11.17	66% 111532-57780 (169312)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 48.5¢	$7.85	$10.31	+$2.46	55% 17202-13832 (31034)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 25.2¢	$7.38	—	-$7.38	46% 37858-44441 (82299)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$8.42	$8.51	+$0.09	93% 22538-1732 (24270)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$0.87	—	-$0.87	56% 57551-44443 (101994)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Downavg 30¢	$1.5	$5	+$3.5	12% 17985-132788 (150773)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 43¢	$2.26	—	-$2.26	64% 39705-22669 (62374)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 5¢	$0.08	—	-$0.08	58% 60094-43864 (103958)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19757-18903 (38660)