Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 44%
$772.46
$56.83
Smart Money Signal
4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $351.85 | $355.4 | +$3.55 | 93% 22538-1732 (24270) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 72.2Β’ | $172.09 | $165.75 | -$6.34 | 51% 6762-6452 (13214) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 55Β’ | $137.75 | $241.06 | +$103.31 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.8Β’ | $14.3 | β | -$14.3 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.2Β’ | $19.57 | β | -$19.57 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 36Β’ | $7.65 | β | -$7.65 | 56% 57551-44443 (101994) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.1Β’ | $3.24 | β | -$3.24 | 46% 37858-44441 (82299) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 52.5Β’ | $5.38 | $10.25 | +$4.87 | 66% 98506-50940 (149446) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | $3.8 | β | -$3.8 | 54% 10390-8862 (19252) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19757-18903 (38660) |
Invested
$351.85
Value
$355.4
PnL
+$3.55
Record
93%
22538-1732 (24270)
Invested
$172.09
Value
$165.75
PnL
-$6.34
Record
51%
6762-6452 (13214)
Invested
$137.75
Value
$241.06
PnL
+$103.31
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
Invested
$14.3
Value
β
PnL
-$14.3
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$19.57
Value
β
PnL
-$19.57
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
Invested
$7.65
Value
β
PnL
-$7.65
Record
56%
57551-44443 (101994)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
β
PnL
-$3.24
Record
46%
37858-44441 (82299)
Invested
$5.38
Value
$10.25
PnL
+$4.87
Record
66%
98506-50940 (149446)
Invested
$3.8
Value
β
PnL
-$3.8
Record
54%
10390-8862 (19252)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19757-18903 (38660)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $355.4
ply-pm2
Down β $165.75
uninformedfloww
Down β $241.06
aaa221
CTRUp β $0

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
Bonereaper
Down β $10.25
thesidehustle
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0