Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
Down 48%
$619.42
-$300.81
Smart Money Signal
10 of 21 top traders (48%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 50.3¢ | $178.57 | — | -$178.57 | 51% 6762-6452 (13214) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $155.77 | $157.34 | +$1.57 | 93% 22538-1732 (24270) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 47.3¢ | $105.39 | $191.44 | +$100.57 | 48% 23052-25114 (48166) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 45¢ | $49.89 | $110.93 | +$61.04 | 58% 12492-9149 (21641) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.7¢ | $39.58 | $53.53 | +$13.95 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $14.39 | $29.65 | +$15.26 | 58% 60094-43864 (103958) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 58.9¢ | $24.98 | — | -$24.98 | 56% 57551-44443 (101994) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $22.4 | $20 | -$2.22 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $11.42 | $12 | +$0.58 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $11.67 | — | -$11.67 | 64% 39705-22669 (62374) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $10.4 | $20 | +$9.6 | 58% 50774-36908 (87682) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $20.04 | — | -$20.04 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $4.99 | $9.25 | +$4.25 | 66% 111532-57780 (169312) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 34.9¢ | $188.14 | — | -$188.14 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $7.3 | $10.28 | +$2.98 | 51% 19757-18903 (38660) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.5¢ | $5.28 | — | -$5.28 | 12% 17985-132788 (150773) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 52% 89316-83776 (173092) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $5.06 | — | -$5.06 | 74% 102118-36310 (138428) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.7¢ | $44.15 | — | -$44.15 | 55% 17202-13832 (31034) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.9¢ | $5.38 | — | -$5.38 | 46% 37858-44441 (82299) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.8¢ | $25.17 | — | -$25.17 | 63% 51166-30114 (81280) |
Invested
$178.57
Value
—
PnL
-$178.57
Record
51%
6762-6452 (13214)
Invested
$155.77
Value
$157.34
PnL
+$1.57
Record
93%
22538-1732 (24270)
Invested
$105.39
Value
$191.44
PnL
+$100.57
Record
48%
23052-25114 (48166)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.89
Value
$110.93
PnL
+$61.04
Record
58%
12492-9149 (21641)
Invested
$39.58
Value
$53.53
PnL
+$13.95
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
Invested
$14.39
Value
$29.65
PnL
+$15.26
Record
58%
60094-43864 (103958)
Invested
$24.98
Value
—
PnL
-$24.98
Record
56%
57551-44443 (101994)
Invested
$22.4
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.22
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$11.42
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.58
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$11.67
Value
—
PnL
-$11.67
Record
64%
39705-22669 (62374)
Invested
$10.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.6
Record
58%
50774-36908 (87682)
Invested
$20.04
Value
—
PnL
-$20.04
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
Invested
$4.99
Value
$9.25
PnL
+$4.25
Record
66%
111532-57780 (169312)
Invested
$188.14
Value
—
PnL
-$188.14
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
Invested
$7.3
Value
$10.28
PnL
+$2.98
Record
51%
19757-18903 (38660)
Invested
$5.28
Value
—
PnL
-$5.28
Record
12%
17985-132788 (150773)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
52%
89316-83776 (173092)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$5.06
Value
—
PnL
-$5.06
Record
74%
102118-36310 (138428)
Invested
$44.15
Value
—
PnL
-$44.15
Record
55%
17202-13832 (31034)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.38
Value
—
PnL
-$5.38
Record
46%
37858-44441 (82299)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$25.17
Value
—
PnL
-$25.17
Record
63%
51166-30114 (81280)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $157.34
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $191.44
wowitsamazing
Up — $110.93
aaa221
Up — $53.53
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $29.65
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $20
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $12
ohioism
CTRDown — $0