Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 88%
$646.15
$81.13
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 72.8Β’ | $377.8 | $291.51 | -$86.29 | 51% 6745-6431 (13176) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.4Β’ | $97.35 | $98.91 | +$1.56 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Downavg 15.6Β’ | $27.5 | $176 | +$148.5 | 48% 23042-25099 (48141) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.3Β’ | $26 | β | -$26 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 22.2Β’ | $11.09 | $50 | +$38.91 | 49% 77513-80805 (158318) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 82.5Β’ | $17.2 | $20.86 | +$3.66 | 65% 124007-66294 (190301) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $4.4 | $4.44 | +$0.04 | 93% 22517-1732 (24249) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 83Β’ | $3.69 | $4.44 | +$0.75 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
Invested
$377.8
Value
$291.51
PnL
-$86.29
Record
51%
6745-6431 (13176)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$97.35
Value
$98.91
PnL
+$1.56
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
Invested
$27.5
Value
$176
PnL
+$148.5
Record
48%
23042-25099 (48141)
Invested
$26
Value
β
PnL
-$26
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$11.09
Value
$50
PnL
+$38.91
Record
49%
77513-80805 (158318)
Invested
$17.2
Value
$20.86
PnL
+$3.66
Record
65%
124007-66294 (190301)
Invested
$4.4
Value
$4.44
PnL
+$0.04
Record
93%
22517-1732 (24249)
Invested
$3.69
Value
$4.44
PnL
+$0.75
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $291.51

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $98.91
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down β $176
aaa221
CTRUp β $0

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $50
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $20.86
hoodquant
Down β $4.44
asidjasiodja
Down β $4.44