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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$119.25

Combined PnL

-$89.07

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$119.25
Total Shares119
Combined PnL+$28.51
Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares183
Combined PnL-$117.58
Down — 45%Up — 55%
UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Down

Invested

$37.93

Value

$45.6

PnL

+$7.67

Record

63%

51142-30102 (81244)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$47.27

Value

—

PnL

-$47.27

Record

51%

6745-6431 (13176)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$15.43

Value

—

PnL

-$15.43

Record

65%

21538-11836 (33374)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$26

Value

—

PnL

-$23.2

Record

65%

124007-66294 (190301)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$17.43

Value

—

PnL

-$17.43

Record

49%

77513-80805 (158318)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$8

Value

—

PnL

-$8

Record

51%

19747-18896 (38643)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Down

Invested

$44.75

Value

$50.28

PnL

+$5.53

Record

62%

43568-26495 (70063)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$2.21

Value

$13

PnL

+$10.79

Record

61%

93803-58969 (152772)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.25

Value

—

PnL

-$6.25

Record

55%

17200-13832 (31032)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$1.45

Value

$5.37

PnL

+$3.92

Record

52%

89283-83737 (173020)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$4.4

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.6

Record

56%

57536-44436 (101972)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x447d6cd4...d93993
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793186700

Traders in this Market

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $45.6

+$7.67
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$47.27
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$15.43
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Up — $0

-$23.2

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$17.43
DE

devonpoll

CTR

Up — $0

-$8

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $50.28

+$5.53
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $13

+$10.79
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.25
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5.37

+$3.92
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