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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 36%

Total Value

$347.06

Combined PnL

-$213.33

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 12 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares633
Combined PnL-$325.44
Up8 traders
Total Value$347.06
Total Shares347
Combined PnL+$112.11
Down — 33%Up — 67%
PL
ply-pm2CTR
Down

Invested

$302.09

Value

—

PnL

-$302.09

Record

51%

6745-6431 (13176)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$12

Value

$64.21

PnL

+$52.21

Record

49%

77513-80805 (158318)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$72.49

Value

$42

PnL

-$30.49

Record

61%

93803-58969 (152772)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$51.25

Value

$59.99

PnL

+$8.74

Record

65%

21538-11836 (33374)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$46.13

Value

$50.3

PnL

+$4.17

Record

64%

39693-22664 (62357)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$40.9

Value

$88.55

PnL

+$47.65

Record

55%

17200-13832 (31032)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.74

Value

—

PnL

-$3.74

Record

46%

37841-44422 (82263)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$9.9

Value

$36

PnL

+$26.1

Record

58%

60083-43855 (103938)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.25

Value

—

PnL

-$13.25

Record

52%

89283-83737 (173020)

HS
HsilverbasherCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.36

Value

—

PnL

-$6.36

Record

12%

17971-132774 (150745)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$2.28

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.72

Record

65%

124007-66294 (190301)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19747-18896 (38643)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x7c553b30...071881
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793186100

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$302.09

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $64.21

+$52.21
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $42

-$30.49
AA

aaa221

Up — $59.99

+$8.74

ohioism

Up — $50.3

+$4.17
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $88.55

+$47.65

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.74
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $36

+$26.1
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$13.25
HS

Hsilverbasher

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.36
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