Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Down 64%
$1.1K
$79.17
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 63.3Β’ | $424.83 | $457.37 | +$32.54 | 51% 6745-6431 (13176) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $403.76 | $407.94 | +$4.18 | 93% 22517-1732 (24249) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 67.1Β’ | $35.27 | $52 | +$16.73 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 57.6Β’ | $58.07 | $100.82 | +$42.75 | 56% 57536-44436 (101972) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 58Β’ | $30.67 | $52.88 | +$22.21 | 58% 60083-43855 (103938) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.3Β’ | $20.47 | β | -$14.41 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 72.8Β’ | $14.39 | $17.18 | +$2.79 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.5Β’ | $21.65 | β | -$21.65 | 55% 17200-13832 (31032) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 36Β’ | $9.72 | β | -$9.72 | 48% 23042-25099 (48141) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 73Β’ | $5.38 | $5.55 | +$0.17 | 52% 89283-83737 (173020) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 66% 111508-57758 (169266) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 33Β’ | $3.22 | β | -$3.22 | 49% 77513-80805 (158318) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $1.64 | $3.64 | +$2 | 46% 37841-44422 (82263) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 45Β’ | $20 | β | -$0.2 | 65% 124007-66294 (190301) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 69Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19747-18896 (38643) |
Invested
$424.83
Value
$457.37
PnL
+$32.54
Record
51%
6745-6431 (13176)
Invested
$403.76
Value
$407.94
PnL
+$4.18
Record
93%
22517-1732 (24249)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$35.27
Value
$52
PnL
+$16.73
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
Invested
$58.07
Value
$100.82
PnL
+$42.75
Record
56%
57536-44436 (101972)
Invested
$30.67
Value
$52.88
PnL
+$22.21
Record
58%
60083-43855 (103938)
Invested
$20.47
Value
β
PnL
-$14.41
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$14.39
Value
$17.18
PnL
+$2.79
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$21.65
Value
β
PnL
-$21.65
Record
55%
17200-13832 (31032)
Invested
$9.72
Value
β
PnL
-$9.72
Record
48%
23042-25099 (48141)
Invested
$5.38
Value
$5.55
PnL
+$0.17
Record
52%
89283-83737 (173020)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
66%
111508-57758 (169266)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.22
Value
β
PnL
-$3.22
Record
49%
77513-80805 (158318)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$1.64
Value
$3.64
PnL
+$2
Record
46%
37841-44422 (82263)
Invested
$20
Value
β
PnL
-$0.2
Record
65%
124007-66294 (190301)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19747-18896 (38643)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $457.37
hoodquant
Down β $407.94

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $52
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $100.82
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $52.88
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $17.18
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $5.55