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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 60%

Total Value

$39.02

Combined PnL

-$32.49

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares328
Combined PnL-$44.21
Down5 traders
Total Value$39.02
Total Shares39
Combined PnL+$11.72
Up — 58%Down — 42%
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$22.57

Value

—

PnL

-$22.57

Record

51%

6745-6431 (13176)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$10.03

Value

$11.32

PnL

+$1.29

Record

52%

89283-83737 (173020)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

65%

124007-66294 (190301)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.19

Value

—

PnL

-$7.19

Record

46%

37841-44422 (82263)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$8.73

Value

$11.45

PnL

+$2.72

Record

61%

93803-58969 (152772)

HS
Hsilverbasher<$100
Down

Invested

$5.55

Value

$11.25

PnL

+$5.7

Record

12%

17971-132774 (150745)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$3.35

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.65

Record

58%

60083-43855 (103938)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$11.85

Value

—

PnL

-$11.85

Record

49%

77513-80805 (158318)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

55%

17200-13832 (31032)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

66%

111508-57758 (169266)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$18.8

Value

$0

PnL

+$0.36

Record

65%

21538-11836 (33374)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19747-18896 (38643)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xc475db3b...029bdd
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793185500

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$22.57
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $11.32

+$1.29
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.2

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$7.19
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $11.45

+$2.72
HS

Hsilverbasher

Down — $11.25

+$5.7
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $5

+$1.65

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$11.85
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.35
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.05
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