Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 50%
$696.07
-$38.59
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98Β’ | $627.68 | $640.49 | +$12.81 | 93% 22517-1732 (24249) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.6Β’ | $59.27 | β | -$59.27 | 51% 6745-6431 (13176) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 87.5Β’ | $18.63 | $21.3 | +$2.67 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 74.8Β’ | $15.25 | $20.38 | +$5.13 | 55% 17200-13832 (31032) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 61.2Β’ | $8.5 | $13.9 | +$5.4 | 46% 37841-44422 (82263) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 33Β’ | $3.3 | β | -$3.3 | 54% 10339-8830 (19169) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 33Β’ | $1.97 | β | -$1.97 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 111508-57758 (169266) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19747-18896 (38643) |
Invested
$627.68
Value
$640.49
PnL
+$12.81
Record
93%
22517-1732 (24249)
Invested
$59.27
Value
β
PnL
-$59.27
Record
51%
6745-6431 (13176)
Invested
$18.63
Value
$21.3
PnL
+$2.67
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$15.25
Value
$20.38
PnL
+$5.13
Record
55%
17200-13832 (31032)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$8.5
Value
$13.9
PnL
+$5.4
Record
46%
37841-44422 (82263)
Invested
$3.3
Value
β
PnL
-$3.3
Record
54%
10339-8830 (19169)
Invested
$1.97
Value
β
PnL
-$1.97
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111508-57758 (169266)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19747-18896 (38643)
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