Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 63%
1 arb excluded
$240.81
-$1.14
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $84.33 | $78.77 | -$5.56 | 51% 6745-6431 (13176) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 57¢ | $44.91 | $78.77 | +$33.86 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 32.8¢ | $39.42 | — | -$39.42 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $49.1 | $86.07 | +$36.97 | 57% 69712-52987 (122699) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 92.8¢ | $38.42 | $37.97 | -$0.44 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 56.6¢ | $22.86 | $28 | +$5.14 | 54% 10339-8830 (19169) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.1¢ | $29.2 | — | -$29.2 | 55% 17200-13832 (31032) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $7.03 | $5 | -$2.03 | 49% 77513-80805 (158318) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.5¢ | $27.48 | — | -$12.92 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $3.35 | $5 | +$1.65 | 52% 89283-83737 (173020) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 46% 37841-44422 (82263) |
Invested
$84.33
Value
$78.77
PnL
-$5.56
Record
51%
6745-6431 (13176)
Both legs:
Invested
$49.1
Value
$86.07
PnL
+$36.97
Record
57%
69712-52987 (122699)
Invested
$38.42
Value
$37.97
PnL
-$0.44
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$22.86
Value
$28
PnL
+$5.14
Record
54%
10339-8830 (19169)
Invested
$29.2
Value
—
PnL
-$29.2
Record
55%
17200-13832 (31032)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$7.03
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.03
Record
49%
77513-80805 (158318)
Invested
$27.48
Value
—
PnL
-$12.92
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$3.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.65
Record
52%
89283-83737 (173020)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
46%
37841-44422 (82263)
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