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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$566.84

Combined PnL

$106.16

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$264.9
Total Shares265
Combined PnL+$157.7
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares99
Combined PnL-$51.54
Up — 64%Down — 36%
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$249.02

Value

$301.94

PnL

+$52.91

Record

51%

6717-6412 (13129)

Both legs:

Up$94.9431.4¢+$207
Down$154.0832.6¢-$154.08
UN
uninformedfloww
Up

Invested

$46.3

Value

$159.66

PnL

+$113.36

Record

57%

69652-52957 (122609)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$45.13

Value

$57.2

PnL

+$21.78

Record

65%

21488-11804 (33292)

TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$26.85

Value

—

PnL

-$26.85

Record

54%

10336-8828 (19164)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$16.84

Value

—

PnL

-$16.84

Record

61%

93762-58955 (152717)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$3.75

Value

$7

PnL

+$3.25

Record

52%

89240-83721 (172961)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$11.52

Value

$12

PnL

+$0.48

Record

93%

22496-1730 (24226)

HS
HsilverbasherCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.95

Value

—

PnL

-$4.95

Record

12%

17952-132766 (150718)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$5.29

Value

$22

PnL

+$16.71

Record

49%

77489-80776 (158265)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Up

Invested

$4.93

Value

$7.04

PnL

+$2.11

Record

66%

111485-57735 (169220)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.9

Value

—

PnL

-$2.9

Record

58%

60073-43849 (103922)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19736-18893 (38629)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x8cd93796...1fd64f
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793182200

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$52.91
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $159.66

+$113.36
AA

aaa221

Up — $57.2

+$21.78
TH

thesidehustle

CTR

Down — $0

-$26.85
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$16.84
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $7

+$3.25
HO

hoodquant

Up — $12

+$0.48
HS

Hsilverbasher

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.95

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $22

+$16.71
AN

antsaslyku

Up — $7.04

+$2.11
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