Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Up 79%
$1.1K
$198.74
Smart Money Signal
11 of 14 top traders (79%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 66.1Β’ | $248.89 | $376.51 | +$127.62 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 65.7Β’ | $176.15 | $222.64 | +$46.48 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 93Β’ | $279.13 | $300 | +$20.87 | 48% 23010-25080 (48090) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.9Β’ | $47.8 | $57.4 | +$16.49 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 91.5Β’ | $30.4 | $28.69 | -$1.71 | 61% 93726-58934 (152660) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 89Β’ | $16.89 | $18.98 | +$2.09 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $12.58 | $13 | +$0.42 | 55% 43943-36416 (80359) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 6Β’ | $2.85 | β | -$2.85 | 49% 77469-80748 (158217) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 91.9Β’ | $11.83 | $11.13 | -$0.7 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 88.3Β’ | $11.21 | $11.44 | +$0.23 | 66% 124340-64008 (188348) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 53Β’ | $9.36 | β | -$9.36 | 58% 50745-36872 (87617) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $5.9 | $10.73 | +$4.83 | 51% 19728-18882 (38610) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $5.17 | $11 | +$5.83 | 12% 17934-132761 (150695) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 23Β’ | $11.5 | β | -$11.5 | 56% 57515-44418 (101933) |
Invested
$248.89
Value
$376.51
PnL
+$127.62
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
Invested
$176.15
Value
$222.64
PnL
+$46.48
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Invested
$279.13
Value
$300
PnL
+$20.87
Record
48%
23010-25080 (48090)
Invested
$47.8
Value
$57.4
PnL
+$16.49
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
Invested
$30.4
Value
$28.69
PnL
-$1.71
Record
61%
93726-58934 (152660)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.89
Value
$18.98
PnL
+$2.09
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.58
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.42
Record
55%
43943-36416 (80359)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
β
PnL
-$2.85
Record
49%
77469-80748 (158217)
Invested
$11.83
Value
$11.13
PnL
-$0.7
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
Invested
$11.21
Value
$11.44
PnL
+$0.23
Record
66%
124340-64008 (188348)
Invested
$9.36
Value
β
PnL
-$9.36
Record
58%
50745-36872 (87617)
Invested
$5.9
Value
$10.73
PnL
+$4.83
Record
51%
19728-18882 (38610)
Invested
$5.17
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.83
Record
12%
17934-132761 (150695)
Invested
$11.5
Value
β
PnL
-$11.5
Record
56%
57515-44418 (101933)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Up β $376.51
ply-pm2
Up β $222.64
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up β $300
aaa221
Up β $57.4
asidjasiodja
Up β $28.69

UpandDownSyndrome
Up β $18.98

MayorMamdani
Up β $13

OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown β $0
dvasdkasodk
Up β $11.13
asdaefef
Up β $11.44