Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
$460.37
$54.52
Smart Money Signal
10 of 13 top traders (77%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 46.8¢ | $161.39 | $181.28 | +$19.89 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 24.7¢ | $76.51 | — | -$76.51 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 46.8¢ | $84.88 | $181.28 | +$96.4 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 74.8¢ | $63.52 | $73.25 | +$9.72 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $45.2 | $41 | -$4.2 | 49% 77469-80748 (158217) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87.7¢ | $43.7 | $47.76 | +$4.06 | 55% 43943-36416 (80359) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 82.1¢ | $37.13 | $45.21 | +$8.08 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 90.5¢ | $22.85 | $20.23 | -$2.62 | 66% 124340-64008 (188348) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 82.8¢ | $26.64 | $29.21 | +$2.57 | 61% 93726-58934 (152660) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.1¢ | $4.1 | — | -$4.1 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 83.1¢ | $9.8 | $10.58 | +$0.78 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $7.6 | $10.86 | +$3.26 | 51% 19728-18882 (38610) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $4.57 | — | -$4.57 | 64% 39676-22644 (62320) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 46% 37814-44371 (82185) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $0.47 | $1.01 | +$0.54 | 12% 17934-132761 (150695) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 76¢ | $130.68 | — | +$41.17 | 48% 23010-25080 (48090) |
Invested
$161.39
Value
$181.28
PnL
+$19.89
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Both legs:
Invested
$63.52
Value
$73.25
PnL
+$9.72
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$45.2
Value
$41
PnL
-$4.2
Record
49%
77469-80748 (158217)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$43.7
Value
$47.76
PnL
+$4.06
Record
55%
43943-36416 (80359)
Invested
$37.13
Value
$45.21
PnL
+$8.08
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
Invested
$22.85
Value
$20.23
PnL
-$2.62
Record
66%
124340-64008 (188348)
Invested
$26.64
Value
$29.21
PnL
+$2.57
Record
61%
93726-58934 (152660)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.1
Value
—
PnL
-$4.1
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
Invested
$9.8
Value
$10.58
PnL
+$0.78
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
Invested
$7.6
Value
$10.86
PnL
+$3.26
Record
51%
19728-18882 (38610)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.57
Value
—
PnL
-$4.57
Record
64%
39676-22644 (62320)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
46%
37814-44371 (82185)
Invested
$0.47
Value
$1.01
PnL
+$0.54
Record
12%
17934-132761 (150695)
Invested
$130.68
Value
—
PnL
+$41.17
Record
48%
23010-25080 (48090)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Up — $73.25
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $41
MayorMamdani
Up — $47.76
aaa221
Up — $45.21
asdaefef
Up — $20.23
asidjasiodja
Up — $29.21
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
Up — $10.58
devonpoll
Up — $10.86