Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$566.65
$64.13
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 31.9¢ | $199.16 | $201.67 | +$2.51 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 31.9¢ | $137.42 | — | -$137.42 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 30.6¢ | $61.74 | $201.67 | +$139.93 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 65.7¢ | $100.18 | $139.76 | +$39.58 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 78.8¢ | $77.07 | $85.22 | +$8.15 | 49% 77469-80748 (158217) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 32.6¢ | $22.54 | $69.23 | +$46.69 | 56% 57515-44418 (101933) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 27.1¢ | $53.32 | — | -$26.66 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 61.8¢ | $25.58 | $35.97 | +$10.39 | 61% 93726-58934 (152660) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 61.3¢ | $17.35 | — | -$17.35 | 66% 111454-57709 (169163) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 75.8¢ | $8.73 | $7.61 | -$1.12 | 55% 43943-36416 (80359) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 65.8¢ | $9.19 | $13.96 | +$4.77 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 65.7¢ | $8.69 | $13.23 | +$4.54 | 66% 124340-64008 (188348) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $4.55 | — | -$4.55 | 48% 23010-25080 (48090) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $0.32 | — | -$0.32 | 46% 37814-44371 (82185) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19728-18882 (38610) |
Invested
$199.16
Value
$201.67
PnL
+$2.51
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Both legs:
Invested
$100.18
Value
$139.76
PnL
+$39.58
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$77.07
Value
$85.22
PnL
+$8.15
Record
49%
77469-80748 (158217)
Invested
$22.54
Value
$69.23
PnL
+$46.69
Record
56%
57515-44418 (101933)
Invested
$53.32
Value
—
PnL
-$26.66
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
Invested
$25.58
Value
$35.97
PnL
+$10.39
Record
61%
93726-58934 (152660)
Invested
$17.35
Value
—
PnL
-$17.35
Record
66%
111454-57709 (169163)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.73
Value
$7.61
PnL
-$1.12
Record
55%
43943-36416 (80359)
Invested
$9.19
Value
$13.96
PnL
+$4.77
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
Invested
$8.69
Value
$13.23
PnL
+$4.54
Record
66%
124340-64008 (188348)
Invested
$4.55
Value
—
PnL
-$4.55
Record
48%
23010-25080 (48090)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.32
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
46%
37814-44371 (82185)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19728-18882 (38610)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Up — $139.76
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $85.22
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $69.23
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
Up — $35.97
antsaslyku
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $7.61
dvasdkasodk
Up — $13.96
asdaefef
Up — $13.23