Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 91%
$645.48
-$29.9
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 86.2¢ | $162.64 | $123.6 | -$39.04 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $292.04 | $298 | +$5.96 | 93% 22483-1729 (24212) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $37.54 | $37 | -$0.54 | 55% 43943-36416 (80359) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $46.14 | $46 | -$0.14 | 49% 77469-80748 (158217) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $39.18 | $37.4 | -$1.78 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 96.9¢ | $27.63 | $28.53 | +$0.9 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 91.9¢ | $25.87 | $28.16 | +$2.29 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95.2¢ | $23.81 | $25 | +$1.19 | 61% 93726-58934 (152660) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 92.4¢ | $14.55 | $15.74 | +$1.19 | 66% 124340-64008 (188348) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98.2¢ | $5.94 | $6.05 | +$0.11 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111454-57709 (169163) |
Invested
$162.64
Value
$123.6
PnL
-$39.04
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Invested
$292.04
Value
$298
PnL
+$5.96
Record
93%
22483-1729 (24212)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$37.54
Value
$37
PnL
-$0.54
Record
55%
43943-36416 (80359)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$46.14
Value
$46
PnL
-$0.14
Record
49%
77469-80748 (158217)
Invested
$39.18
Value
$37.4
PnL
-$1.78
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$27.63
Value
$28.53
PnL
+$0.9
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
Invested
$25.87
Value
$28.16
PnL
+$2.29
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
Invested
$23.81
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.19
Record
61%
93726-58934 (152660)
Invested
$14.55
Value
$15.74
PnL
+$1.19
Record
66%
124340-64008 (188348)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6.05
PnL
+$0.11
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111454-57709 (169163)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $123.6
hoodquant
Down — $298
MayorMamdani
Down — $37
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $46
aaa221
Down — $37.4
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $28.53
uninformedfloww
Down — $28.16
asidjasiodja
Down — $25
asdaefef
Down — $15.74
dvasdkasodk
Down — $6.05