Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 86%
1 arb excluded
$364.76
$15.72
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 72.2¢ | $218.45 | $194.4 | -$24.04 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 72.2¢ | $140.38 | $194.4 | +$54.02 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 36.9¢ | $78.06 | — | -$78.06 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $39.6 | $60 | +$20.4 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 69.9¢ | $36.06 | $41.27 | +$5.21 | 49% 77469-80748 (158217) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 68.6¢ | $25.24 | $36.69 | +$11.44 | 46% 37814-44371 (82185) |
0X 0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.9¢ | $30 | — | -$30 | 63% 1752-1016 (2768) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 58.3¢ | $9.11 | $15 | +$5.89 | 55% 43943-36416 (80359) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $8.6 | $10.24 | +$1.64 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $6.02 | $7.17 | +$1.15 | 66% 124340-64008 (188348) |
Invested
$218.45
Value
$194.4
PnL
-$24.04
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Both legs:
Invested
$39.6
Value
$60
PnL
+$20.4
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$36.06
Value
$41.27
PnL
+$5.21
Record
49%
77469-80748 (158217)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$25.24
Value
$36.69
PnL
+$11.44
Record
46%
37814-44371 (82185)
Invested
$30
Value
—
PnL
-$30
Record
63%
1752-1016 (2768)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9.11
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.89
Record
55%
43943-36416 (80359)
Invested
$8.6
Value
$10.24
PnL
+$1.64
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
Invested
$6.02
Value
$7.17
PnL
+$1.15
Record
66%
124340-64008 (188348)
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