Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 54%
1 arb excluded
$579.11
-$54.03
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 45.9¢ | $250.77 | $240.73 | -$10.04 | 51% 6623-6322 (12945) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 45.9¢ | $158.17 | — | -$158.17 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 38.5¢ | $92.6 | $240.73 | +$148.13 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 59.8¢ | $141.65 | $142.68 | +$1.03 | 68% 98678-46986 (145664) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.4¢ | $11.98 | — | -$11.98 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84.2¢ | $51.27 | $48.7 | -$0.97 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.4¢ | $25.95 | — | -$25.95 | 55% 43897-36336 (80233) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $26.04 | — | -$26.04 | 74% 102066-36293 (138359) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $33.24 | $20 | -$13.24 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $33.73 | $22 | -$11.73 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $14.76 | — | -$14.76 | 64% 39652-22624 (62276) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 56.9¢ | $20.93 | $32 | +$11.07 | 66% 98450-50905 (149355) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 38.5¢ | $25 | $65 | +$40 | 57% 69319-52768 (122087) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $3.76 | $8 | +$4.24 | 58% 60038-43826 (103864) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $3.7 | — | -$3.7 | 52% 89153-83609 (172762) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19712-18874 (38586) |
Invested
$250.77
Value
$240.73
PnL
-$10.04
Record
51%
6623-6322 (12945)
Both legs:
Invested
$141.65
Value
$142.68
PnL
+$1.03
Record
68%
98678-46986 (145664)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$11.98
Value
—
PnL
-$11.98
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$51.27
Value
$48.7
PnL
-$0.97
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$25.95
Value
—
PnL
-$25.95
Record
55%
43897-36336 (80233)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$26.04
Value
—
PnL
-$26.04
Record
74%
102066-36293 (138359)
Invested
$33.24
Value
$20
PnL
-$13.24
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
Invested
$33.73
Value
$22
PnL
-$11.73
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$14.76
Value
—
PnL
-$14.76
Record
64%
39652-22624 (62276)
Invested
$20.93
Value
$32
PnL
+$11.07
Record
66%
98450-50905 (149355)
Invested
$25
Value
$65
PnL
+$40
Record
57%
69319-52768 (122087)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
Invested
$3.76
Value
$8
PnL
+$4.24
Record
58%
60038-43826 (103864)
Invested
$3.7
Value
—
PnL
-$3.7
Record
52%
89153-83609 (172762)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19712-18874 (38586)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $142.68
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $48.7
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0
BoneOhio
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
Up — $20
asdaefef
Up — $22
ohioism
CTRDown — $0
Bonereaper
Up — $32