Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 78%
$244.6
-$15.63
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 83.2Β’ | $56.16 | $60.84 | +$4.69 | 51% 6623-6322 (12945) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94.1Β’ | $59.51 | $54.73 | -$4.78 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.9Β’ | $17.38 | β | -$17.38 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $32.99 | $34.73 | +$1.74 | 58% 60038-43826 (103864) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 87Β’ | $39.15 | $45 | +$5.85 | 57% 69319-52768 (122087) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86.9Β’ | $18.59 | $18.58 | -$0.01 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91.2Β’ | $20.89 | $19.49 | -$1.4 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 93Β’ | $10.44 | $11.23 | +$0.79 | 52% 89153-83609 (172762) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.6Β’ | $5.12 | β | -$5.12 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19712-18874 (38586) |
Invested
$56.16
Value
$60.84
PnL
+$4.69
Record
51%
6623-6322 (12945)
Invested
$59.51
Value
$54.73
PnL
-$4.78
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$17.38
Value
β
PnL
-$17.38
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$32.99
Value
$34.73
PnL
+$1.74
Record
58%
60038-43826 (103864)
Invested
$39.15
Value
$45
PnL
+$5.85
Record
57%
69319-52768 (122087)
Invested
$18.59
Value
$18.58
PnL
-$0.01
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
Invested
$20.89
Value
$19.49
PnL
-$1.4
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
Invested
$10.44
Value
$11.23
PnL
+$0.79
Record
52%
89153-83609 (172762)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.12
Value
β
PnL
-$5.12
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19712-18874 (38586)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $60.84
asidjasiodja
Down β $54.73

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $34.73
uninformedfloww
Down β $45
aaa221
Down β $18.58
asdaefef
Down β $19.49
dvasdkasodk
Down β $11.23

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0