Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 54%
$373.44
-$68.72
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 83.2Β’ | $153.69 | β | -$153.69 | 51% 6623-6322 (12945) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.9Β’ | $68.24 | $69 | +$0.76 | 93% 22430-1725 (24155) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 16.6Β’ | $12.86 | $56 | +$43.14 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $48.08 | $50.08 | +$2 | 58% 60038-43826 (103864) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 79.1Β’ | $23.65 | β | -$23.65 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 85Β’ | $42.65 | β | -$42.65 | 62% 43544-26468 (70012) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 93Β’ | $34.2 | $26 | -$8.2 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $17.46 | $18.19 | +$0.73 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Downavg 14.6Β’ | $21.35 | $146.17 | +$124.82 | 48% 22997-25056 (48053) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.7Β’ | $7.05 | β | -$7.05 | 59% 61913-42908 (104821) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $7.84 | $8 | +$0.16 | 63% 50924-30036 (80960) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.4Β’ | $2.61 | β | -$2.61 | 55% 43897-36336 (80233) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 7.9Β’ | $2.48 | β | -$2.48 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
Invested
$153.69
Value
β
PnL
-$153.69
Record
51%
6623-6322 (12945)
Invested
$68.24
Value
$69
PnL
+$0.76
Record
93%
22430-1725 (24155)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$12.86
Value
$56
PnL
+$43.14
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$48.08
Value
$50.08
PnL
+$2
Record
58%
60038-43826 (103864)
Invested
$23.65
Value
β
PnL
-$23.65
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$42.65
Value
β
PnL
-$42.65
Record
62%
43544-26468 (70012)
Invested
$34.2
Value
$26
PnL
-$8.2
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
Invested
$17.46
Value
$18.19
PnL
+$0.73
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
Invested
$21.35
Value
$146.17
PnL
+$124.82
Record
48%
22997-25056 (48053)
Invested
$7.05
Value
β
PnL
-$7.05
Record
59%
61913-42908 (104821)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$7.84
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.16
Record
63%
50924-30036 (80960)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.61
Value
β
PnL
-$2.61
Record
55%
43897-36336 (80233)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.48
Value
β
PnL
-$2.48
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $69

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $56
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $50.08
aaa221
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $26
asidjasiodja
Down β $18.19
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down β $146.17
0x50f7
CTRUp β $0