Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 31%
$443.65
-$92.03
Smart Money Signal
4 of 14 top traders (29%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $360.5 | $364.14 | +$3.64 | 93% 22430-1725 (24155) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $76.03 | — | -$76.03 | 51% 6623-6322 (12945) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $34.61 | $52.87 | +$19.25 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.5¢ | $18.55 | $18.83 | +$0.28 | 63% 50924-30036 (80960) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | $10.27 | — | -$10.27 | 12% 17911-132734 (150645) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 65.8¢ | $12.54 | — | -$12.54 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $4.45 | $7.81 | +$3.36 | 66% 111403-57662 (169065) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $5.26 | — | -$5.26 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $4.85 | — | -$4.85 | 52% 89153-83609 (172762) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $5.25 | — | -$5.25 | 66% 98450-50905 (149355) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.69 | — | -$0.69 | 55% 43897-36336 (80233) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $3.41 | — | -$3.41 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19712-18874 (38586) |
Invested
$360.5
Value
$364.14
PnL
+$3.64
Record
93%
22430-1725 (24155)
Invested
$76.03
Value
—
PnL
-$76.03
Record
51%
6623-6322 (12945)
Invested
$34.61
Value
$52.87
PnL
+$19.25
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$18.55
Value
$18.83
PnL
+$0.28
Record
63%
50924-30036 (80960)
Invested
$10.27
Value
—
PnL
-$10.27
Record
12%
17911-132734 (150645)
Invested
$12.54
Value
—
PnL
-$12.54
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
Invested
$4.45
Value
$7.81
PnL
+$3.36
Record
66%
111403-57662 (169065)
Invested
$5.26
Value
—
PnL
-$5.26
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
Invested
$4.85
Value
—
PnL
-$4.85
Record
52%
89153-83609 (172762)
Invested
$5.25
Value
—
PnL
-$5.25
Record
66%
98450-50905 (149355)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.69
Value
—
PnL
-$0.69
Record
55%
43897-36336 (80233)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.41
Value
—
PnL
-$3.41
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19712-18874 (38586)
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