Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 54%
2 arb excluded
$341.23
-$70.59
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 64.6¢ | $103.44 | $89.23 | -$14.22 | 51% 6623-6322 (12945) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 25¢ | $45.77 | — | -$45.77 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64.6¢ | $57.68 | $89.23 | +$31.55 | |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530ARB<$100 | Upavg 76.9¢ | $80.62 | $75.56 | -$5.06 | 56% 57485-44407 (101892) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 76.9¢ | $58.1 | $75.56 | +$17.46 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 45¢ | $22.52 | — | -$22.52 | |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 97.8¢ | $54.03 | $45.22 | -$8.81 | 61% 93655-58890 (152545) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $40.6 | — | -$40.6 | 57% 69319-52768 (122087) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.4¢ | $20.83 | — | -$20.83 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $30 | $40 | +$10 | 62% 43544-26468 (70012) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.7¢ | $25.04 | $23.45 | -$1.59 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $13.16 | — | -$13.16 | 12% 17911-132734 (150645) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 77.8¢ | $19.68 | $25.28 | +$5.6 | 64% 39652-22624 (62276) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $19.78 | $25.04 | +$5.26 | 58% 60038-43826 (103864) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.3¢ | $5.16 | — | -$5.16 | 55% 43897-36336 (80233) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 59% 61913-42908 (104821) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $15.6 | $12.46 | +$4.32 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $8.02 | $5 | -$3.02 | 52% 89153-83609 (172762) |
Invested
$103.44
Value
$89.23
PnL
-$14.22
Record
51%
6623-6322 (12945)
Both legs:
Invested
$80.62
Value
$75.56
PnL
-$5.06
Record
56%
57485-44407 (101892)
Both legs:
Invested
$54.03
Value
$45.22
PnL
-$8.81
Record
61%
93655-58890 (152545)
Invested
$40.6
Value
—
PnL
-$40.6
Record
57%
69319-52768 (122087)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$20.83
Value
—
PnL
-$20.83
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$30
Value
$40
PnL
+$10
Record
62%
43544-26468 (70012)
Invested
$25.04
Value
$23.45
PnL
-$1.59
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
Invested
$13.16
Value
—
PnL
-$13.16
Record
12%
17911-132734 (150645)
ohioism<$100Invested
$19.68
Value
$25.28
PnL
+$5.6
Record
64%
39652-22624 (62276)
Invested
$19.78
Value
$25.04
PnL
+$5.26
Record
58%
60038-43826 (103864)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.16
Value
—
PnL
-$5.16
Record
55%
43897-36336 (80233)
Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
59%
61913-42908 (104821)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
Invested
$15.6
Value
$12.46
PnL
+$4.32
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
Invested
$8.02
Value
$5
PnL
-$3.02
Record
52%
89153-83609 (172762)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asidjasiodja
Up — $45.22
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $40
asdaefef
Up — $23.45
Hsilverbasher
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $25.28
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $25.04