Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 56%
$101.31
-$12.79
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 95.5Β’ | $38.2 | $40 | +$1.8 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.1Β’ | $7.71 | β | -$7.71 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $24.36 | $23.49 | -$0.87 | 61% 93625-58870 (152495) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 77.1Β’ | $13.43 | $14.26 | +$0.83 | 51% 6607-6303 (12910) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3Β’ | $5 | β | -$5 | 46% 37786-44290 (82076) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $12.74 | $13.55 | +$0.81 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 19Β’ | $2 | β | -$2 | 51% 19702-18871 (38573) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $9.4 | $10 | +$0.6 | 52% 89117-83588 (172705) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 35Β’ | $1.25 | β | -$1.25 | 58% 60028-43822 (103850) |
Invested
$38.2
Value
$40
PnL
+$1.8
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.71
Value
β
PnL
-$7.71
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$24.36
Value
$23.49
PnL
-$0.87
Record
61%
93625-58870 (152495)
Invested
$13.43
Value
$14.26
PnL
+$0.83
Record
51%
6607-6303 (12910)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
β
PnL
-$5
Record
46%
37786-44290 (82076)
Invested
$12.74
Value
$13.55
PnL
+$0.81
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
Invested
$2
Value
β
PnL
-$2
Record
51%
19702-18871 (38573)
Invested
$9.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.6
Record
52%
89117-83588 (172705)
Invested
$1.25
Value
β
PnL
-$1.25
Record
58%
60028-43822 (103850)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down β $40

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $23.49
ply-pm2
Down β $14.26

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $13.55
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $10
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0